TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex43c23,014$9,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,93053451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Tundra Esports74c22,602$16,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,937.425757.9%33 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-22.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7af7…dee2backed Team Yandex0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-72.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports59c9,871$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.461,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex23c5,328$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.5634146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports67c3,036$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.0134468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex35c2,662$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9121847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Team Yandex42c2,605$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports66c2,497$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.4748954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Yandex39c2,388$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.4810048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9de…5fb1backed Team Yandex2c2,200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Tundra Esports69c2,186$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.3616149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Tundra Esports64c1,553$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.771957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Tundra Esports65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52519943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Team Yandex35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9914538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Team Yandex37c1,354$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex31c1,026$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5785851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports61c1,000$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39512868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports69c917.02$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8212459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Team Yandex34c899.99$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30925547.8%122 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Team Yandex40c875$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35019743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex33c743.61$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7535758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex39c710$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.856848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Tundra Esports60c699.98$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.997846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex29c693.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19964149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports61c663.39$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1412256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex27c541.28$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.973841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex38c523.84$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0613155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Tundra Esports58c518.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.715946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex41c516.95$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9539660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex38c504.51$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2629245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Tundra Esports64c500$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17914251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x553f…99b9backed Team Yandex12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Tundra Esports59c477.77$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8927548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tundra Esports79c433.91$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Tundra Esports70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1391…6b3fbacked Tundra Esports61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1564231%13 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Team Yandex35c361.71$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex6c360.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.241,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14060552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed Tundra Esports62c345.16$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.167147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Tundra Esports65c344.66$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3212348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Tundra Esports67c299.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.071040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed Tundra Esports62c291.36$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.484065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Team Yandex36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009645.8%44 W · 52 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Team Yandex38c274.55$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037936.7%29 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Team Yandex37c268.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc76b…5fbabacked Team Yandex41c257.05$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.394845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Tundra Esports78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4135370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…7477backed Team Yandex41c252.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.996633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Team Yandex18c250$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.079750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked Tundra Esports69c236.91$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.388239%32 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Yandex41c234.18$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8917946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Team Yandex36c223.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Tundra Esports62c206.6$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3320361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d7f…b47ebacked Team Yandex25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports69c181.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1653844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Tundra Esports50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9019251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed Tundra Esports62c171.16$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.042161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Tundra Esports61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Tundra Esports62c161.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Tundra Esports62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa17…3aa2backed Tundra Esports65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.858557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Team Yandex18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Team Yandex14c145.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.237037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Yandex29c140$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.414744.9%66 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4218…8b6cbacked Team Yandex25c134.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Team Yandex21c129.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.212334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Team Yandex39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Tundra Esports57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.61478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Team Yandex42c115.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.551154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…e99bbacked Tundra Esports62c114.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.491136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Yandex36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Yandex33c101.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8613238.6%51 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Team Yandex40c100.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.331553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Tundra Esports61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Tundra Esports51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Tundra Esports64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Team Yandex16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88bd…f1bebacked Team Yandex32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Tundra Esports62c89.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.95962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Tundra Esports61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9715742%66 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9246664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c27…6964backed Team Yandex31c65.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-81.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Tundra Esports67c63.35$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7211054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed Tundra Esports68c58.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.912867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Team Yandex48c57.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.573525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5681…b253backed Tundra Esports67c50.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.753148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked Team Yandex37c50.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.317149.3%35 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Yandex35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.512533.6%42 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa548…1fd5backed Tundra Esports67c46.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.273050%15 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd354…71e3backed Tundra Esports65c37.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.131861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports60c34.93$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.145061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24b…5142backed Tundra Esports65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.777170.4%50 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Tundra Esports48c30.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddd…d755backed Tundra Esports66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34360.5%26 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…48f0backed Tundra Esports66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Tundra Esports64c30.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.868934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Tundra Esports65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.533945.1%153 W · 186 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.