TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe24b…5142

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 60 out of 100; worst Tweets at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7170.4%50 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+30%+$55.56
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+111.6%+$54.63
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$115.23
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.76
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$39.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Team Liquid to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.49
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Dbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 Winnerbacked KW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$46.54
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$19.8
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.56
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$36.82
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.88
1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.63
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.35
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$86.59
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$25.62
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.22
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.4
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.1
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.9%+$11.86
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5.39
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$26.18
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$9.87
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$12.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.73
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$38.2
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$139.24
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.39
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - FRAG Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.1
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.76
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$102.22
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$68.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+27.5%+$5.51
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+41.9%+$14.68
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-85.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.83
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34.48
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.9
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.22
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$13.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.2%+$45.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$109.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.