Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x610c6c53039ac8b089ca58936792bdf1662cec7a1f0c40e6e28f15766e8fcff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Execration | 31c | 42,010$13,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,216.48 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 67c | 39,666$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,166.41 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PlayTime | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PlayTime | 56c | 15,870$8,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,906.11 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 74c | 13,473$9,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.49 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Execration | 48c | 12,362$5,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.12 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Execration | 47c | 7,958$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.88 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PlayTime | 65c | 6,574$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.68 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 56c | 6,466$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.49 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Execration | 51c | 6,258$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.74 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked PlayTime | 52c | 6,165$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PlayTime | 56c | 6,082$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.38 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Execration | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PlayTime | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed PlayTime | 65c | 5,554$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Execration | 49c | 5,457$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.49 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed PlayTime | 64c | 5,450$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 32c | 5,047$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.78 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration | 40c | 4,672$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.78 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Execration | 39c | 4,655$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PlayTime | 67c | 4,270$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.34 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed PlayTime | 62c | 4,191$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Execration | 42c | 4,084$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.11 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Execration | 35c | 4,077$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.76 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Execration | 30c | 3,878$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.36 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Execration | 26c | 3,500$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.97 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Execration | 36c | 3,406$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…386dbacked Execration | 34c | 3,318$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Execration | 52c | 3,272$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.61 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed PlayTime | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Execration | 40c | 2,959$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.87 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 61c | 2,957$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.94 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 41c | 2,813$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.47 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Execration | 46c | 2,800$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.44 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Execration | 62c | 2,764$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.97 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed PlayTime | 75c | 2,716$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.17 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…a859backed PlayTime | 69c | 2,706$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Execration | 22c | 2,615$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.35 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Execration | 49c | 2,550$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.55 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Execration | 52c | 2,481$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.56 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Execration | 29c | 2,441$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Execration | 20c | 2,430$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.35 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Execration | 45c | 2,262$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.9 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Execration | 24c | 2,252$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.29 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed PlayTime | 69c | 2,089$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.83 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 49c | 2,079$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.2 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Execration | 24c | 2,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Execration | 30c | 2,025$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.39 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Execration | 30c | 2,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b4…4e24backed Execration | 47c | 1,887$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.62 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Execration | 24c | 1,779$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.04 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Execration | 38c | 1,700$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.23 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Execration | 42c | 1,659$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Execration | 45c | 1,546$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed PlayTime | 76c | 1,542$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.97 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Execration | 55c | 1,515$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.58 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Execration | 40c | 1,501$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Execration | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 24c | 1,493$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.71 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Execration | 43c | 1,419$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.92 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Execration | 39c | 1,379$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.1 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Execration | 49c | 1,336$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.45 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked Execration | 50c | 1,332$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.77 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Execration | 29c | 1,325$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed Execration | 48c | 1,324$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.83 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Execration | 42c | 1,247$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.91 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PlayTime | 76c | 1,200$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Execration | 45c | 1,113$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Execration | 19c | 1,089$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked PlayTime | 46c | 1,046$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.65 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Execration | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Execration | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Execration | 45c | 988.39$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.67 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Execration | 14c | 985.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed PlayTime | 49c | 982.79$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.14 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked PlayTime | 74c | 977.57$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.76 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Execration | 42c | 943.7$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.08 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Execration | 41c | 932$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.72 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Execration | 22c | 931.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.32 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed Execration | 51c | 900$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.68 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Execration | 44c | 891.32$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.8 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PlayTime | 52c | 888$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.28 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked PlayTime | 70c | 886.85$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.06 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0472…c3bfbacked Execration | 62c | 864.11$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.19 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Execration | 31c | 858.51$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.28 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Execration | 55c | 841.73$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Execration | 42c | 834.24$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.04 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Execration | 15c | 824.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked Execration | 51c | 815.12$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.21 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed Execration | 49c | 808.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Execration | 24c | 805.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Execration | 46c | 799.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Execration | 26c | 799.94$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.74 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…b14dbacked Execration | 50c | 792.28$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Execration | 51c | 791.5$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.25 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed PlayTime | 69c | 791.01$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.24 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked PlayTime | 74c | 778.78$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Execration | 36c | 742.56$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Execration | 37c | 738$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.06 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration | 31c | 732.53$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)Execration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.