Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be5c6564b9999f09ec312a6a1d52232d1e78ca852f4b697aa4d88281ddb7391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked PlayTime | 66c | 36,145$23,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,366.73 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PlayTime | 73c | 8,548$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.13 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Execration | 43c | 8,497$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.21 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Execration | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.76 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Execration | 43c | 7,865$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.42 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Execration | 33c | 6,642$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.68 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 65c | 5,768$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.7 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Execration | 36c | 4,488$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.75 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Execration | 24c | 4,164$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.53 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked PlayTime | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.99 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PlayTime | 68c | 3,446$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 65c | 3,362$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.49 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed Execration | 46c | 3,274$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.46 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PlayTime | 72c | 3,126$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.93 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 24c | 3,025$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.96 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PlayTime | 62c | 2,663$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.93 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Execration | 31c | 2,553$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.13 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Execration | 35c | 2,519$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.75 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 66c | 2,450$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.08 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Execration | 36c | 2,099$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.72 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Execration | 34c | 2,026$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.54 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Execration | 45c | 1,900$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.97 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Execration | 28c | 1,855$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.34 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Execration | 28c | 1,835$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.87 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Execration | 26c | 1,812$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.75 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Execration | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed PlayTime | 69c | 1,741$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Execration | 32c | 1,533$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.56 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Execration | 41c | 1,530$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.08 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Execration | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Execration | 34c | 1,349$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.16 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…1d53backed Execration | 20c | 1,300$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…0935backed Execration | 31c | 1,284$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked PlayTime | 70c | 1,146$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.44 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Execration | 3c | 1,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Execration | 27c | 1,056$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.31 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Execration | 32c | 1,053$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed PlayTime | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Execration | 48c | 1,000$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Execration | 34c | 928.34$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Execration | 30c | 924.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Execration | 38c | 912.2$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.96 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Execration | 31c | 901.03$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.46 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed PlayTime | 61c | 817.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked PlayTime | 32c | 811.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.12 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Execration | 31c | 803.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PlayTime | 58c | 767.04$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.2 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Execration | 30c | 733$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed PlayTime | 69c | 726.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.69 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…b14dbacked PlayTime | 70c | 716.28$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PlayTime | 65c | 708.06$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.15 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Execration | 22c | 699.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked PlayTime | 68c | 638.96$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…8b13backed PlayTime | 49c | 617.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Execration | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Execration | 42c | 599.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Execration | 18c | 561.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Execration | 7c | 560.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Execration | 27c | 559$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Execration | 31c | 552.62$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Execration | 36c | 542.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Execration | 32c | 499$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 58c | 493.76$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked PlayTime | 56c | 476.78$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.78 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Execration | 37c | 451.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Execration | 52c | 441.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Execration | 32c | 429.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Execration | 37c | 412.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Execration | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Execration | 31c | 369.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Execration | 39c | 368.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 30c | 354.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Execration | 44c | 352.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Execration | 37c | 347.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Execration | 33c | 335.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Execration | 29c | 329.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Execration | 43c | 327.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed PlayTime | 44c | 310$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed PlayTime | 63c | 302.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Execration | 28c | 300.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Execration | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed PlayTime | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PlayTime | 68c | 296.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Execration | 35c | 285.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Execration | 38c | 282$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 30c | 277.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 29c | 276.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Execration | 6c | 270.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Execration | 30c | 265.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked PlayTime | 76c | 263.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Execration | 32c | 257.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 31c | 254.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Execration | 38c | 247.87$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Execration | 21c | 245.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Execration | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 33c | 243.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Execration | 15c | 240.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…5cdabacked PlayTime | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)Execration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.