Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f0d8174e38cbaedadd964a4a1d06a46f4bfbc1d4fd2c194a04ced7a074c653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof PlayTime, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 65c | 30,803$20,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,006.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Execration | 33c | 23,213$7,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,603.64 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed PlayTime | 68c | 18,831$12,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,865.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Execration | 47c | 8,000$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.97 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Execration | 31c | 5,160$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,558.89 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Execration | 34c | 4,655$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.42 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration | 20c | 4,290$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed PlayTime | 78c | 4,115$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.36 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PlayTime | 65c | 3,607$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.92 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 61c | 3,307$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.02 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PlayTime | 66c | 3,121$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.49 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Execration | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.99 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 40c | 2,562$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.97 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Execration | 29c | 2,300$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.96 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PlayTime | 72c | 2,058$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.17 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PlayTime | 18c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Execration | 27c | 1,964$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.83 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PlayTime | 57c | 1,893$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Execration | 26c | 1,893$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.65 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Execration | 19c | 1,880$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PlayTime | 69c | 1,644$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.89 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Execration | 12c | 1,600$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Execration | 39c | 1,444$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.73 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed PlayTime | 71c | 1,375$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.38 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Execration | 28c | 1,288$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.64 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Execration | 11c | 1,220$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.84 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PlayTime | 12c | 1,177$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Execration | 24c | 1,175$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.3 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration | 37c | 1,159$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.14 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Execration | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed PlayTime | 62c | 997.11$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed PlayTime | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed PlayTime | 69c | 907.13$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.24 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked PlayTime | 69c | 865.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 67cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Execration | 27c | 862$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.26 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Execration | 29c | 852.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.62 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Execration | 28c | 846.43$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.43 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed PlayTime | 14c | 804.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Execration | 32c | 755.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.02 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed PlayTime | 36c | 713.87$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Execration | 27c | 709.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.55 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Execration | 29c | 632.19$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.19 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…386dbacked PlayTime | 32c | 629.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed PlayTime | 54c | 627.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.15 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Execration | 23c | 617.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.36 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Execration | 20c | 599.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.93 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked PlayTime | 6c | 574$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Execration | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Execration | 38c | 555.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.12 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Execration | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Execration | 18c | 492.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.82 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Execration | 37c | 465.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.53 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Execration | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked PlayTime | 73c | 439.73$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Execration | 38c | 435.94$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Execration | 20c | 435.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked PlayTime | 62c | 430.64$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 17c | 420$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked PlayTime | 80c | 412.38$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Execration | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Execration | 12c | 388$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.44 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed PlayTime | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Execration | 47c | 370.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.59 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PlayTime | 68c | 348.28$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.59 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 37c | 346.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.82 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 69c | 328.21$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.21 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed PlayTime | 68c | 327.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Execration | 32c | 311.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Execration | 27c | 294.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.92 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Execration | 51c | 293.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PlayTime | 53c | 289.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Execration | 72c | 278.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 27c | 275.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Execration | 26c | 273.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.91 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Execration | 68c | 267.18$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed PlayTime | 75c | 265.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked PlayTime | 46c | 262.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Execration | 30c | 254.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.52 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PlayTime | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Execration | 27c | 236.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PlayTime | 46c | 229.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Execration | 33c | 214.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Execration | 35c | 210.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Execration | 20c | 202.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PlayTime | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed PlayTime | 61c | 200$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked PlayTime | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 69c | 199.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed PlayTime | 15c | 197.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Execration | 61c | 197.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…853bbacked Execration | 8c | 190$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Execration | 43c | 186.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Execration | 20c | 178.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed PlayTime | 65c | 176.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 238 | 38.2%91 W · 147 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Execration | 38c | 174.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Execration | 33c | 173.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.95 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Execration | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PlayTime | 53c | 170.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Execration | 31c | 170.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 30c | 169.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)Execration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.