Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x963cca7014d3df9b5ec4d386ff552c6af81d90c29984802bb5a4b7020b7e27a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed GamerLegion | 40c | 190,000$75,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,474.15 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid | 60c | 101,569$60,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,596.2 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Liquid | 58c | 48,357$27,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,544.69 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 43,154$19,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,777.87 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 65c | 18,153$11,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.57 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 14,715$8,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,353.47 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid | 66c | 10,719$7,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.12 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 9,151$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.12 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 8,039$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.31 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 73c | 7,143$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.15 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed GamerLegion | 45c | 4,400$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 4,225$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.83 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 60c | 4,110$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.82 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Liquid | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 3,683$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.92 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,679$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.67 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed GamerLegion | 48c | 3,575$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.3 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 58c | 3,554$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.85 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked GamerLegion | 39c | 3,284$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.71 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 3,166$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked GamerLegion | 5c | 3,147$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed GamerLegion | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Team Liquid | 60c | 2,997$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.46 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed GamerLegion | 27c | 2,980$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.26 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,769$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.66 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid | 60c | 2,615$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.83 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion | 23c | 2,600$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.44 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Liquid | 71c | 2,542$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.14 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed GamerLegion | 26c | 2,340$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.7 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed GamerLegion | 23c | 2,141$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed GamerLegion | 41c | 2,073$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.51 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Liquid | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,982$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.91 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed GamerLegion | 28c | 1,648$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,636$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.97 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed GamerLegion | 37c | 1,616$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed GamerLegion | 31c | 1,582$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.42 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,513$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.14 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed GamerLegion | 27c | 1,499$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.32 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,272$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.14 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,248$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.78 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed GamerLegion | 46c | 1,214$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.7 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,172$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.3 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 1,040$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb621…03cfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,014$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.2 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed GamerLegion | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed GamerLegion | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 66c | 980.97$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Team Liquid | 51c | 978.43$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.43 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Liquid | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 912.84$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 868.52$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Liquid | 51c | 769$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.81 | 497 | 32.2%160 W · 337 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion | 25c | 748$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.21 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Liquid | 68c | 721.12$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GamerLegion | 44c | 690.04$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.04 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Liquid | 62c | 684.79$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 655.86$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.22 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed GamerLegion | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed GamerLegion | 29c | 600$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed GamerLegion | 37c | 584.84$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed GamerLegion | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…f04bbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 506.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Liquid | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Liquid | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Team Liquid | 65c | 495$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed GamerLegion | 31c | 480.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed GamerLegion | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 422.05$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 418.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Liquid | 71c | 406$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 389.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed GamerLegion | 31c | 373.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Liquid | 51c | 368.43$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.53 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed GamerLegion | 23c | 363.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed GamerLegion | 52c | 360$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 353.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed GamerLegion | 49c | 345.61$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 336.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed GamerLegion | 48c | 329.06$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 55c | 309.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…17febacked Team Liquid | 76c | 302.63$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed GamerLegion | 37c | 300.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed GamerLegion | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…e8c5backed Team Liquid | 68c | 264.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed GamerLegion | 24c | 255$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Liquid | 67c | 210.08$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…9c0dbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 207.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed Team Liquid | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 202.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed GamerLegion | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 36.7%90 W · 155 L | -14.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.