TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked Under49c12,486$6,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,428.9583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under48c6,812$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.361,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed Over52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.993452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Over51c3,118$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5903557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over52c2,691$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.483953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Under49c2,050$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.966347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over50c1,980$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5363…1987backed Over53c1,898$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.181520%3 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e9a…5f9cbacked Over52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over16c1,518$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.941,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b6…8a74backed Over53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over16c981.17$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.834,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Under58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.071060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4a…b153backed Under56c819.02$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.971741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under46c670.43$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.312653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over54c608.37$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.522035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3d…a4f8backed Over53c379.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under48c374.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.995,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over48c271.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2181544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Under50c252.72$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.418764.4%56 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13096945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3319747.2%93 W · 104 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10237448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028250%41 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Under49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cc…b8a2backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa886…822bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008951.7%46 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over50c184.77$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1614654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e083backed Over51c163$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.137828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed Under51c141.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.636756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Under47c137.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.883548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Over54c134.47$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.278848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under46c127$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2882646.2%382 W · 444 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under47c107.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd7c…79a0backed Over53c106.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.011850%9 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21240%0 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x854c…01e2backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.042425%6 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe51e…1a85backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461850%9 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Under49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5112152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over51c98.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…8bd4backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c09…6752backed Over54c91.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over51c89.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.639550.5%48 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf17…5f59backed Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03fc…a8e6backed Under52c77.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under56c61.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf549…2ecbbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031959.9%191 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee86…07d8backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb30a…644ebacked Under72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.563271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2635454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over50c49.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8383…3e94backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef0b…8996backed Over50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Under47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.227735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b56…31f0backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x583b…9249backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207262.5%45 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf766…c644backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Over58c38.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.438736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24b…5142backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Under47c37.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2179…0ae7backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed Over55c32.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x317e…a004backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6f…778fbacked Under79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.35855.2%32 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Under49c29.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0213460.4%81 W · 53 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a92…6643backed Over51c29.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ef…d6a0backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fba…1967backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaef…db07backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156177%47 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab9f…3b3cbacked Under47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.210956.9%62 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce5…8e89backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18de…0b64backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.