TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeaef…db07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
243
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT14461.8%89 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.62
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$12.35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.65
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$11.3
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.09
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.3
Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora: Draw (1-1)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.39
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$7.7
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$9.7
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$23.6
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.7
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT6177%47 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$21.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$5.94
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$11.32
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$9.37
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO5) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group Dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6.01
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40%+$9.09
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.28
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$8.55
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.01
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$9.38
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$12.24
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.71
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+27%+$6.37
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3)backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.69
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+57.5%+$28.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.6%+$14.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.