Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7a86367f55feea28f7d92c9c7a2a769678084aa316a4e2d5c0a8ddef73d088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 11,000$7,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.3 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed LOUD | 30c | 6,963$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.89 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,975$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.16 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked LOUD | 35c | 1,748$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LOUD | 32c | 1,732$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.99 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed LOUD | 4c | 1,652$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,499$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.63 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD | 10c | 1,491$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 1,486$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,302$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.11 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 41c | 1,100$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.42 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD | 43c | 987.7$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.6 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed LOUD | 29c | 771.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD | 40c | 722.32$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed LOUD | 75c | 573.63$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked LOUD | 29c | 571.83$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed LOUD | 53c | 562.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed LOUD | 65c | 549.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed LOUD | 41c | 507.12$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked LOUD | 49c | 499.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed LOUD | 43c | 401$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LOUD | 31c | 355.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed LOUD | 31c | 340.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LOUD | 40c | 314$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed LOUD | 16c | 306.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 299.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 293.77$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 293$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed LOUD | 34c | 232.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed LOUD | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 185.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked LOUD | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed LOUD | 30c | 163.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 158.21$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 151.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 151.37$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked LOUD | 36c | 136.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed LOUD | 30c | 124.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 120.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked LOUD | 42c | 119.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 118.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 107.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…fe8abacked LOUD | 39c | 102.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 100.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 92.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed LOUD | 67c | 85.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed LOUD | 30c | 82.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 74.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked LOUD | 34c | 73.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed LOUD | 38c | 70.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked LOUD | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed LOUD | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…eee0backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 66.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 44.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked LOUD | 35c | 42.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 42.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 40.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 37.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 35.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed LOUD | 36c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 30.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked LOUD | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked LOUD | 35c | 29.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked LOUD | 37c | 28.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xdf99…74babacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 27.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…df9bbacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf8…dca4backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.