TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa300…24c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$21.91
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$2.84
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$4.33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.93
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$14.26
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$22.97
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$3.99
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$24.91
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.43
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Alliance - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.85
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$11.4
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+79%+$11.65
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Dbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$17.49
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$18.47
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+52%+$46.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$13.63
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$16.79
LoL: NRG Esports vs Winthrop University - Game 4 Winnerbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$5.73
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$9.95
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
LoL: Bubliki vs Ronaldo Team (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked Ronaldo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$16.72
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.67
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$23.5
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$20.21
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$11.32
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.