CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7424bbb0487fc0091f94f1464095d375864717f4ded53ebdf6154166d75e52c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ASTRAL | 14c | 851.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 38c | 679$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.02 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 75c | 336.94$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ASTRAL | 29c | 326$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 47c | 265.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ASTRAL | 27c | 222.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 14c | 214.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed KOLESIE | 49c | 201.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked ASTRAL | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 191.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked KOLESIE | 69c | 138.75$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 38c | 119.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 55c | 119$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ASTRAL | 31c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ASTRAL | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL | 43c | 106.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed ASTRAL | 40c | 102.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL | 37c | 84.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 18c | 59.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ASTRAL | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed ASTRAL | 42c | 40.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 31.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed KOLESIE | 71c | 20.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KOLESIE | 74c | 19.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE | 66c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.