CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63e0a26296f39e803fcc4f79e6c086c7fabf6f26a03ea7712ff4684096ab98a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KOLESIE | 66c | 7,380$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed KOLESIE | 59c | 2,903$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.05 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 2,640$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL | 43c | 1,928$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.85 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ASTRAL | 42c | 1,719$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.94 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked KOLESIE | 60c | 1,447$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.63 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 40c | 1,193$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.29 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL | 30c | 1,137$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.61 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ASTRAL | 33c | 898.26$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.51 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed KOLESIE | 76c | 747$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ASTRAL | 36c | 604.97$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed KOLESIE | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…2eccbacked KOLESIE | 62c | 520.41$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 43c | 517.81$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE | 58c | 413.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ASTRAL | 14c | 395.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed KOLESIE | 60c | 355.95$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed ASTRAL | 26c | 332.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL | 30c | 322.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ASTRAL | 40c | 301.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed ASTRAL | 15c | 296.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ASTRAL | 27c | 282.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…bb7dbacked ASTRAL | 23c | 270.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL | 17c | 256.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed ASTRAL | 40c | 254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked KOLESIE | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KOLESIE | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed KOLESIE | 74c | 212.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL | 16c | 198.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 70c | 195.88$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…2104backed KOLESIE | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 34c | 165.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked KOLESIE | 70c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ASTRAL | 40c | 149.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KOLESIE | 57c | 149.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…4e3bbacked KOLESIE | 75c | 133.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked KOLESIE | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked ASTRAL | 20c | 128.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed ASTRAL | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed KOLESIE | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed KOLESIE | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed ASTRAL | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ASTRAL | 30c | 94.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed KOLESIE | 58c | 90.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ASTRAL | 39c | 89.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ASTRAL | 40c | 88.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed ASTRAL | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked ASTRAL | 31c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed ASTRAL | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ASTRAL | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked ASTRAL | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed KOLESIE | 73c | 68.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…44bbbacked KOLESIE | 59c | 50.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ASTRAL | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked ASTRAL | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked KOLESIE | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…c370backed ASTRAL | 46c | 48.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed KOLESIE | 60c | 40.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked KOLESIE | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ASTRAL | 41c | 39.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed KOLESIE | 58c | 31.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed ASTRAL | 40c | 30.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL | 44c | 29.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed ASTRAL | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed KOLESIE | 57c | 23.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed KOLESIE | 60c | 23.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed KOLESIE | 61c | 21.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KOLESIE | 65c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf34…a028backed KOLESIE | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed KOLESIE | 79c | 12.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.