Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47875a9d03ec2112b3c920f86aa6010266e71c1ef8a45e645246d76c5c3d703f

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NRGof Leviatán Esports, NRG
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $146,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,036 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG	64c	20,467$13,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,449.47	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Leviatán Esports	40c	11,958$4,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,752.58	241	45.2%109 W · 132 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leviatán Esports	30c	3,847$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.06	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Leviatán Esports	24c	3,482$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.12	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Leviatán Esports	24c	2,082$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.88	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Leviatán Esports	23c	2,042$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.63	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Leviatán Esports	7c	1,715$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.08	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Leviatán Esports	39c	1,601$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.38	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Leviatán Esports	29c	1,539$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.23	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Leviatán Esports	43c	1,460$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.44	93	71%66 W · 27 L	+15.6wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x677d…53f0backed NRG	69c	1,442$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.89	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed NRG	56c	1,339$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.84	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Leviatán Esports	41c	1,232$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	196	48.5%95 W · 101 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed NRG	75c	1,113$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.84	80	66.3%53 W · 27 L	+8.5wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Leviatán Esports	16c	1,102$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.17	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NRG	75c	1,091$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.01	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG	78c	1,041$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.19	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Leviatán Esports	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Leviatán Esports	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	70	1.4%1 W · 69 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf909…f517backed Leviatán Esports	41c	999.99$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG	66c	884.46$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.43	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Leviatán Esports	33c	866$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.78	287	47.4%136 W · 151 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Leviatán Esports	22c	820$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.23	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed NRG	62c	793.7$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.25	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Leviatán Esports	25c	767.55$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.76	279	47.7%133 W · 146 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf1…84aabacked NRG	63c	644.34$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.15	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed NRG	66c	558.8$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.11	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Leviatán Esports	23c	508.62$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.74	160	33.8%54 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Leviatán Esports	7c	477.77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	407	31.7%129 W · 278 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Leviatán Esports	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Leviatán Esports	6c	416$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked NRG	60c	404.61$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.84	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5489…1633backed Leviatán Esports	34c	380.27$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked NRG	58c	365.82$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.41	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…e875backed Leviatán Esports	19c	359.05$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Leviatán Esports	49c	300$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed NRG	71c	276.4$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.4	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Leviatán Esports	28c	271.44$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.44	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Leviatán Esports	27c	265.14$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.51	375	45.6%171 W · 204 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32bb…8addbacked NRG	77c	259.09$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.09	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	67cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Leviatán Esports	42c	249.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Leviatán Esports	33c	249.98$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.24	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171b…9c6fbacked Leviatán Esports	20c	239.03$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.13	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Leviatán Esports	24c	219.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.8	220	18.2%40 W · 180 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed NRG	69c	199.57$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.87	224	55.4%124 W · 100 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed NRG	75c	198.79$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.79	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	55cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2add…a167backed Leviatán Esports	35c	175.27$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	46cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Leviatán Esports	44c	173.73$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.85	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Leviatán Esports	30c	154$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG	59c	150$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.58	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed NRG	63c	150$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.58	430	59.8%257 W · 173 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked NRG	77c	149.99$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Leviatán Esports	26c	148.23$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed NRG	68c	147.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.89	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Leviatán Esports	12c	145.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG	68c	139.23$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.86	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed NRG	70c	115.74$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.72	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x749f…6be1backed NRG	59c	112.45$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed NRG	73c	109.1$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.62	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Leviatán Esports	10c	106$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	664	38.1%253 W · 411 L	-31.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed NRG	65c	99.99$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	321	52.6%169 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Leviatán Esports	27c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.52	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Leviatán Esports	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked NRG	74c	67.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.53	109	75.2%82 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed NRG	52c	63.62$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.62	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked NRG	67c	62.08$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.49	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Leviatán Esports	30c	61.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Leviatán Esports	35c	57.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.07	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed NRG	44c	56.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.76	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+4.1wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed NRG	62c	56.45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Leviatán Esports	37c	53.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked NRG	58c	51.72$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.72	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Leviatán Esports	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9816…8ff4backed NRG	75c	38.67$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed Leviatán Esports	30c	38.47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leviatán Esports	30c	37.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	204	39.2%80 W · 124 L	-18.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Leviatán Esports	28c	35.19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Leviatán Esports	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96db…499fbacked NRG	64c	31.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked NRG	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked NRG	42c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa300…24c7backed Leviatán Esports	45c	29.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.07	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked NRG	73c	24.66$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	182	61%111 W · 71 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked NRG	60c	21.88$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	251	41.4%104 W · 147 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked NRG	78c	21.25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.73	385	48.6%187 W · 198 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60a…3a43backed NRG	60c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed NRG	73c	14.86$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.01	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2NRG won
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event