TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x171b…9c6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$40.8
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.1
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+153.9%+$44.48
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$15.7
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$57.64
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.3
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$18.37
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+231.1%+$35.04
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.69
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$6.95
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$38.88
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$9.89
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$46.39
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.13
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$30.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+73.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.07
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.37
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.