Cricket · resolved market
T20 Asia Pacific Champions Trophy: Thailand vs Singapore
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d29b39850889868aca070dd5571beee7b852971189e0c6839900ead5b85d71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Singaporeof Thailand, Singapore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96b9…a560backed Singapore | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Thailand | 7c | 1,226$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 691 | 31.1%215 W · 476 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Thailand | 42c | 1,225$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.49 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thailand | 8c | 652.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 584 | 37.3%218 W · 366 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Thailand | 10c | 548$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thailand | 24c | 415.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 649 | 43.3%281 W · 368 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Singapore | 79c | 338.74$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thailand | 10c | 336$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 273 | 41.4%113 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thailand | 9c | 305.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 312 | 49.7%155 W · 157 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Thailand | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 13.2%25 W · 165 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Thailand | 42c | 275.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thailand | 6c | 251.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Singapore | 56c | 233$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Singapore | 59c | 217$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 334 | 41.3%138 W · 196 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Singapore | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Thailand | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Singapore | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 190 | 30%57 W · 133 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Thailand | 46c | 188$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Thailand | 39c | 179.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Thailand | 39c | 166.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…abc0backed Thailand | 42c | 163.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Thailand | 42c | 152.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Thailand | 42c | 148.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Singapore | 79c | 122.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Singapore | 70c | 96.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 248 | 36.3%90 W · 158 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thailand | 12c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 648 | 46.1%299 W · 349 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Singapore | 60c | 84.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Singapore | 71c | 64.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 668 | 50.7%339 W · 329 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Thailand | 40c | 60.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked Thailand | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Thailand | 42c | 53.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Thailand | 42c | 49.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Thailand | 37c | 49.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…869abacked Singapore | 62c | 48.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Singapore | 59c | 47.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a3a0backed Thailand | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x049d…ccdcbacked Thailand | 41c | 42.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e81…9783backed Singapore | 61c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Singapore | 59c | 26.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…89a9backed Singapore | 61c | 23.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Singapore | 59c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…9c6fbacked Singapore | 59c | 17.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.