Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2d58661aefafe8bd1897cd811250b919f607c2953101fabe0d435ed8efc995
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Gen.G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 4,394$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.8 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…a66dbacked Gen.G Esports | 17c | 2,945$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Gen.G Esports | 21c | 1,613$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.68 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Gen.G Esports | 16c | 1,540$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Gen.G Esports | 22c | 1,135$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Gen.G Esports | 30c | 777.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gen.G Esports | 18c | 777.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gen.G Esports | 35c | 689.92$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.42 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Gen.G Esports | 35c | 628.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.69 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Gen.G Esports | 29c | 287.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Gen.G Esports | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Gen.G Esports | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Gen.G Esports | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gen.G Esports | 26c | 188.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 182.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Gen.G Esports | 36c | 171.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…f02fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 126.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Gen.G Esports | 43c | 101.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gen.G Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 78.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed Gen.G Esports | 15c | 69.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Gen.G Esports | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 45.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…9c6fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 73c | 37.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Gen.G Esports | 35c | 32.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 28.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Gen.G Esports (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Map Handicap: NS (-2.5) vs Gen.G Esports (+2.5)Gen.G Esports won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 3 WinnerGen.G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.