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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.G Esportsof Nongshim RedForce, Gen.G Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa39…bb64backed Gen.G Esports53c9,419$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,390.354067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Gen.G Esports52c9,002$4,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,330.819371%66 W · 27 L+15.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x2439…a66dbacked Nongshim RedForce29c2,989$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce37c2,195$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.521,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Nongshim RedForce44c2,157$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.0440944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Nongshim RedForce50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Nongshim RedForce50c1,852$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.62429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gen.G Esports57c1,129$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.289344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nongshim RedForce52c999.65$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.9853455.2%295 W · 239 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce52c999.28$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0656557.7%326 W · 239 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Gen.G Esports62c905.96$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.51,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Nongshim RedForce39c842.34$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.810238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Nongshim RedForce47c756.01$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.4842540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Gen.G Esports51c724.53$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.228066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Nongshim RedForce20c716$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.210341.7%43 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Nongshim RedForce2c625.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Gen.G Esports44c518.13$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.5462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Gen.G Esports63c444.64$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5418444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Nongshim RedForce47c370.17$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.595149%25 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce43c344.34$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.351,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed Nongshim RedForce42c338.23$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.093125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Nongshim RedForce51c327.45$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16711843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Nongshim RedForce58c321.84$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Gen.G Esports50c315.07$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8710159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce50c308.59$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.531,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Nongshim RedForce50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014850%74 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Gen.G Esports57c241.74$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8841835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Nongshim RedForce24c226.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0816133.5%54 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Gen.G Esports56c215.01$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.479845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nongshim RedForce37c181.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4139047.9%187 W · 203 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gen.G Esports62c177.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.071,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed Nongshim RedForce51c174.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Gen.G Esports72c174.07$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2737545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Gen.G Esports61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.530544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Gen.G Esports61c149.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0832261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Nongshim RedForce42c145.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nongshim RedForce35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5811249.1%55 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed Nongshim RedForce35c137.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.895545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nongshim RedForce57c119.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6685138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked Nongshim RedForce17c119.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.391225%3 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Nongshim RedForce62c118.59$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7318261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Gen.G Esports71c111.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.743644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gen.G Esports59c106.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.81,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x171b…9c6fbacked Gen.G Esports55c102.81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Nongshim RedForce49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063056.3%355 W · 275 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Nongshim RedForce23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Nongshim RedForce54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Gen.G Esports50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5032152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nongshim RedForce65c98.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.341,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed Nongshim RedForce51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-81.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Gen.G Esports59c91.9$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9691333.2%303 W · 610 L-89.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Gen.G Esports57c86.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4625752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gen.G Esports51c75.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8351849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f18…1566backed Nongshim RedForce41c74.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Gen.G Esports66c70.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.837448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked Gen.G Esports46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.223652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed Gen.G Esports47c60.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.066046.7%28 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ceb…e35abacked Gen.G Esports42c56.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Gen.G Esports48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.041947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…60cbbacked Gen.G Esports37c51.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+110.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nongshim RedForce50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2599945.9%459 W · 540 L-27.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed Gen.G Esports53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Nongshim RedForce44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027760.6%168 W · 109 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nongshim RedForce66c44.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5793649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed Nongshim RedForce62c41.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265858.6%34 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Nongshim RedForce57c33.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked Nongshim RedForce61c31.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.366671.2%47 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nongshim RedForce66c30.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked Gen.G Esports52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45451.9%28 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Nongshim RedForce34c29.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Gen.G Esports46c24.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0739166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Nongshim RedForce49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.233030%9 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nongshim RedForce66c19.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.844639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36c9…c678backed Nongshim RedForce62c19.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.