TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Monte, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$363,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$469,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Monte31c62,644$19,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,277.171,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BetBoom Team53c35,201$18,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,660.7150054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Monte51c28,098$14,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,287.9341040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Monte36c26,092$9,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,425.6342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Monte46c21,238$9,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,815.2781843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BetBoom Team63c9,920$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.4933343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked BetBoom Team74c9,624$7,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.1544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked BetBoom Team78c8,640$6,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.813043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked BetBoom Team49c8,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,039.9812956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed BetBoom Team45c6,736$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.912955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked BetBoom Team75c4,045$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.9135745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked BetBoom Team50c3,961$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.662920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed BetBoom Team63c3,599$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.6365546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked BetBoom Team54c3,500$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.147454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Monte29c3,318$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.419659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team70c3,017$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed BetBoom Team55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.0318056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed BetBoom Team63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1108256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed BetBoom Team53c2,996$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.8615155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked BetBoom Team78c2,880$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.63647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Monte51c2,816$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.251,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Monte29c2,680$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.131,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Monte30c2,551$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.3487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Monte54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.989443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked BetBoom Team78c2,400$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5283262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd302…3c8fbacked BetBoom Team46c2,152$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.851764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Monte33c2,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65049935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Monte55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed BetBoom Team67c1,510$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1719448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed Monte21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3156028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Monte31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed BetBoom Team67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49513360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team58c1,492$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.586,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed BetBoom Team68c1,460$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.411,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Monte45c1,431$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.321,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd7…a01fbacked BetBoom Team63c1,400$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked BetBoom Team55c1,375$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.528038.8%31 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Monte28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked Monte1c1,250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed BetBoom Team53c1,250$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.4750846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked BetBoom Team71c1,197$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ba…f9d3backed BetBoom Team65c1,187$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.882147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed Monte51c1,180$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Monte44c1,156$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.5888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked BetBoom Team67c1,114$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2935460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Monte46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Monte45c1,031$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.22,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Monte1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc890…c2ffbacked BetBoom Team78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed BetBoom Team53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.510150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03b6…2c93backed BetBoom Team63c941.74$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.746654.5%36 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BetBoom Team69c941.38$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.782,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Monte28c940.48$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.129934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed BetBoom Team65c939.03$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.634843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed BetBoom Team63c938.65$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.337850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed BetBoom Team66c858.52$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.911349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Monte49c856.75$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9419741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed BetBoom Team78c835.26$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.766550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monte47c821.58$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.414,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed BetBoom Team53c800.58$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.2754732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed BetBoom Team63c800.56$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.215752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Monte33c761.24$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2111439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Monte13c750$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed BetBoom Team46c741.61$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.4722444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BetBoom Team72c732.64$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.154,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked BetBoom Team70c723.42$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3762738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed BetBoom Team77c720.75$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7744343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed BetBoom Team67c696.89$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9742651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1991…348ebacked Monte8c693.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4119150.3%96 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed BetBoom Team54c660$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.51,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked BetBoom Team51c658.9$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4594645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed Monte49c656.11$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.765648.2%27 W · 29 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfe2…5edebacked BetBoom Team69c647.95$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.861030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BetBoom Team63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9263541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed Monte52c607.81$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.445658.9%33 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+54%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BetBoom Team69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed BetBoom Team49c598.16$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.069764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92c…dd9abacked BetBoom Team78c590$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.85246.2%24 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed BetBoom Team52c581.11$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1112441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Monte51c573.47$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.341,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Monte54c537.89$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.926643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed BetBoom Team75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3340048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed BetBoom Team74c516.23$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2228254.6%154 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Monte34c500.1$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0326650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed BetBoom Team44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked BetBoom Team63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18540950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked BetBoom Team67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed BetBoom Team58c494.3$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4224756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed BetBoom Team67c493.01$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.699047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed BetBoom Team63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1913352.6%70 W · 63 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked BetBoom Team54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9612642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed BetBoom Team44c454.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2415134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BetBoom Team45c446.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed BetBoom Team46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7827961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Monte6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Monte37c405$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8545639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed BetBoom Team50c399.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19910148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Monte33c399.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.981,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Monte36c399.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9242638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.