CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d3a88ff845e33bde17fa67be246f2bf6dc83770d2e108833c838ee7b98198e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Over | 51c | 1,443$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.82 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 44c | 774.93$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.58 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Under | 63c | 630.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836e…95fbbacked Over | 52c | 482$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 51c | 226.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 49c | 208.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 55c | 172.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 170.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 44c | 150.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Over | 16c | 104.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Under | 55c | 56.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…871fbacked Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…3072backed Over | 51c | 33.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 31.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2BetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.