TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe679…871f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.23
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.98
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$86.26
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$45.73
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$55.14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35.92
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.91
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+549.4%+$549.35
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.94
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.02
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.83
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.02
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$37.24
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$46.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.