MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65cc2b1e5cb0e75a1f10063376164f86e95bc6c349f1d3625c1b98a6790a7c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cincinnati Reds, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $332,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 137,074$56,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,200.18 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 130,000$76,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,300 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 47,619$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 29,258$17,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,181.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 18,285$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 8,163$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.77 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 7,532$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.78 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 6,379$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.98 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 6,033$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.26 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 3,928$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.8 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 3,740$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.13 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 3,415$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.12 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 3,415$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.45 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 2,961$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.66 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,800$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185b…eb9dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 2,521$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 2,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 2,342$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.77 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…b7b3backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 2,056$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,999$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.72 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,963$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.98 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,923$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.43 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,504$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.54 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 1,473$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.59 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,199$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,189$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.53 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,005$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 980.06$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 907.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 879.03$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 804.44$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 703.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 680$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 660.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 647.19$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 616.23$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 610$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 541.01$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…57e8backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 482.93$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 482.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 406.78$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 22c | 405.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 389.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…664bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 377.74$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…2b6abacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 368.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 350.36$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 350$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 344.07$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.07 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 324.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 299.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 299.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 296.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 296.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 291.61$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 290.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 285.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 280.86$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 271.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 256.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 246.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…599bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 217.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 209.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 205$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 198$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 197.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x043f…ca25backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 192.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 188.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 185.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 181.67$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 172.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 170.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 167.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 159.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 152.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 147.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bac2backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 145.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 128.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.