CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1683f0030fc5a167ab82aea42631944706e91a5b0e78f45fbe9cf4d983950fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof MOUZ, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,672,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,804,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,672,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed FUT Esports | 63c | 242,110$153,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,684.26 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked MOUZ | 36c | 83,333$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ | 42c | 61,225$25,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,865.99 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ | 58c | 50,567$29,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,386.08 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 50,000$21,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,249.84 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed MOUZ | 55c | 43,956$24,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,175.96 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked MOUZ | 37c | 40,397$14,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,933.21 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…65e7backed MOUZ | 56c | 35,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.95 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed MOUZ | 45c | 28,000$12,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,460 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed MOUZ | 43c | 26,000$11,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,234.62 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ | 51c | 26,000$13,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,220 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed FUT Esports | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,727.27 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed MOUZ | 58c | 21,418$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked FUT Esports | 74c | 21,145$15,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,486.32 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ | 37c | 20,409$7,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,494.88 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 18,220$11,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,731.22 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed MOUZ | 36c | 18,124$6,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,524.6 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 51c | 17,157$8,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,704.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed FUT Esports | 42c | 16,908$7,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,723.88 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed FUT Esports | 43c | 16,279$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,278.98 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed FUT Esports | 43c | 15,814$6,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,018.6 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…2874backed MOUZ | 43c | 14,127$6,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,078.19 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked MOUZ | 37c | 13,514$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked FUT Esports | 42c | 13,143$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634.65 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 12,500$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ | 36c | 12,383$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.37 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 12,000$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,670 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed FUT Esports | 43c | 12,000$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.91 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 11,909$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,890.48 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed MOUZ | 52c | 11,438$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.32 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked FUT Esports | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.11 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked MOUZ | 36c | 11,110$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.59 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed FUT Esports | 43c | 10,971$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,253.68 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed FUT Esports | 43c | 10,810$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.85 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked MOUZ | 49c | 10,598$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed MOUZ | 37c | 10,541$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed FUT Esports | 41c | 10,466$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed MOUZ | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed FUT Esports | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.94 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 9,949$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.76 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked FUT Esports | 44c | 9,764$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.76 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed MOUZ | 56c | 9,069$5,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.48 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed FUT Esports | 42c | 9,000$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.99 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed MOUZ | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed MOUZ | 55c | 7,812$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed FUT Esports | 42c | 7,559$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…3fffbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 7,540$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports | 63c | 6,986$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.82 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ | 58c | 6,918$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed FUT Esports | 43c | 6,900$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 6,706$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.57 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed FUT Esports | 42c | 6,690$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed MOUZ | 54c | 6,616$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.89 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 58c | 6,464$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.22 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…5a4ebacked MOUZ | 37c | 6,372$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 56c | 6,324$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.42 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports | 55c | 6,169$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.39 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports | 53c | 6,119$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.51 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked MOUZ | 58c | 6,010$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed FUT Esports | 58c | 5,851$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.01 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 5,796$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.97 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed FUT Esports | 44c | 5,690$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.37 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed MOUZ | 56c | 5,636$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.41 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed FUT Esports | 49c | 5,438$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.43 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 5,341$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.31 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…bccebacked FUT Esports | 43c | 5,325$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked FUT Esports | 64c | 5,300$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ | 56c | 5,087$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.82 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed FUT Esports | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed FUT Esports | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed FUT Esports | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.95 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 4,836$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.64 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 43c | 4,830$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.93 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830c…675dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 4,799$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.94 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked FUT Esports | 57c | 4,776$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.64 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed FUT Esports | 42c | 4,650$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.77 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed MOUZ | 37c | 4,595$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 4,527$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 4,516$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.66 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked MOUZ | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 4,456$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.92 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed FUT Esports | 42c | 4,452$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.23 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed FUT Esports | 49c | 4,260$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.33 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked MOUZ | 58c | 4,113$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.7 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed MOUZ | 59c | 4,068$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 57c | 4,008$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.49 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed MOUZ | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed FUT Esports | 53c | 3,995$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.82 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…9e9fbacked MOUZ | 38c | 3,993$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked MOUZ | 35c | 3,979$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.63 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed FUT Esports | 44c | 3,866$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.92 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 3,829$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.11 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ | 56c | 3,804$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.39 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FUT Esports | 44c | 3,756$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…d198backed MOUZ | 26c | 3,730$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 3,670$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.74 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked MOUZ | 30c | 3,533$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.02 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.