CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x750a795903e153cadee9cc395175d866f7486683808a086116a11199d80304f8

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,040 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1421…9e62backed Over	50c	9,974$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,973.53	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under	50c	4,658$2,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,315.94	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	51c	4,450$2,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,269.49	149	34.9%52 W · 97 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over	49c	2,353$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.92	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	50c	2,082$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.85	231	45.9%106 W · 125 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed Over	49c	1,975$968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.26	139	37.4%52 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over	72c	1,387$993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.75	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under	50c	1,250$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	249	35.7%89 W · 160 L	-14.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under	27c	1,184$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.35	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under	51c	1,042$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.96	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Over	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.2	101	50.5%51 W · 50 L	-7.2wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under	41c	757.12$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.8	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Over	75c	621.28$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.1	140	42.1%59 W · 81 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	390	38.5%150 W · 240 L	-17.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	7c	566.2$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.16	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	29c	560.97$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.34	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under	51c	555$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.05	386	50.8%196 W · 190 L	+11.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under	51c	520.41$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.41	892	48%428 W · 464 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Over	49c	507.76$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.96	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under	50c	500.1$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.05	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under	51c	499.95$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.97	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	50c	422$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	277	53.8%149 W · 128 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	51c	351$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.84	100	53%53 W · 47 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Under	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d9…2085backed Over	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	31c	270.52$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.55	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over	58c	252.99$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.29	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	29c	242.59$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.35	492	42.1%207 W · 285 L	-17.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Over	48c	208$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.16	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under	26c	207.6$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.89	600	32.3%194 W · 406 L	-49.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3337…780bbacked Over	54c	204.39$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.02	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	474	47.5%225 W · 249 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over	48c	199$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.48	156	48.1%75 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Over	50c	196$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	24c	180.79$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.98	452	38.3%173 W · 279 L	-29.4wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	121	57.9%70 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Under	42c	164.28$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-46%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over	49c	138.78$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.78	302	36.8%111 W · 191 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over	71c	135.75$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.81	286	51%146 W · 140 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	9c	122.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Over	67c	120.15$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.65	527	50.7%267 W · 260 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over	55c	115.8$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.11	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	26c	115$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.98	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over	73c	113.45$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.44	266	53.4%142 W · 124 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Under	50c	110.2$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	52c	107$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.64	284	55.6%158 W · 126 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over	48c	105$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.6	496	51.2%254 W · 242 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2284…e326backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	174	56.9%99 W · 75 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	333	54.4%181 W · 152 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	42.7%50 W · 67 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf057…f531backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	127	60.6%77 W · 50 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72d…1daebacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	45c	98.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.51	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	26c	93.57$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.2	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	331	53.5%177 W · 154 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	42c	85.71$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	260	48.5%126 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41c…e7b9backed Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	55c	82.06$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.61	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Over	59c	80.98$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.2	835	43.6%364 W · 471 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	45c	80.87$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.14	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	224	60.7%136 W · 88 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Over	50c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under	37c	69.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over	49c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3389…2411backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	248	50.4%125 W · 123 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under	51c	44.86$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	113	58.4%66 W · 47 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over	59c	42.37$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.37	157	58%91 W · 66 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71db…aba8backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	326	49.7%162 W · 164 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	216	50.9%110 W · 106 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2a…0f79backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over	49c	38.78$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.78	295	58.6%173 W · 122 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	61c	33.96$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.15	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under	39c	33.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	534	44.9%240 W · 294 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2455…7559backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	233	54.5%127 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Over	71c	30$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	100	52%52 W · 48 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc20b…d053backed Over	58c	24.83$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34e…ea1fbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ad1…3c26backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+12%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce0a…2a11backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Over	71c	16.9$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.9	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3FUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event