CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf49e90299f5cfda3e5e641f865f1ebcb5c94143fb09863f98120cebfd2fb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof MOUZ, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 6,750$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked MOUZ | 26c | 6,750$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports | 69c | 2,222$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.84 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,457$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.83 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FUT Esports | 69c | 1,155$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed MOUZ | 30c | 693$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked MOUZ | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ | 30c | 618.33$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FUT Esports | 69c | 554.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…67b7backed MOUZ | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked MOUZ | 31c | 435.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked MOUZ | 28c | 420$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed MOUZ | 30c | 414.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked FUT Esports | 70c | 364.79$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed MOUZ | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FUT Esports | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 294$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed FUT Esports | 71c | 281$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed MOUZ | 31c | 235.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed MOUZ | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…80febacked FUT Esports | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked FUT Esports | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked FUT Esports | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked MOUZ | 31c | 190.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked MOUZ | 31c | 188.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed MOUZ | 31c | 162$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed MOUZ | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…01e3backed MOUZ | 32c | 140.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed MOUZ | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports | 71c | 126$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed FUT Esports | 65c | 110.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…0cf5backed FUT Esports | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed MOUZ | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…3397backed MOUZ | 31c | 60.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed FUT Esports | 72c | 56.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked MOUZ | 31c | 51.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 33.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed FUT Esports | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FUT Esports | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)MOUZ won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.