TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Metsof New York Yankees, New York Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,121,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,135,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,121,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd959…daf7backed New York Yankees53c394,367$209,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209,353.994151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked New York Mets47c331,463$155,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,675.2521040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked New York Yankees53c102,783$54,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,447.3441149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed New York Mets47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,00011849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets47c93,289$43,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,443.362,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees53c93,012$49,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,296.436758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets47c90,000$42,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,70050153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees53c78,000$41,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,080.0377053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets48c30,549$14,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,932.664,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets59c20,500$11,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,505.6710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed New York Yankees0c20,121$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees54c18,473$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets46c15,903$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,587.581,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked New York Yankees53c15,094$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00021147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed New York Mets46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10011952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed New York Yankees53c13,170$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.17353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets47c10,770$5,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,708.117853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets48c10,417$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,416.6798149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed New York Yankees52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20012457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets46c9,282$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,975.951,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees53c9,042$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800.23,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees2c8,653$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.144,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…c669backed New York Yankees25c8,519$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d69…e597backed New York Yankees1c7,983$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed New York Yankees38c7,830$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9892725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed New York Yankees29c6,742$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.819239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees24c6,310$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.1525240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1201,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Mets62c5,993$3,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,293.2911947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets69c5,731$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.131,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed New York Mets57c5,725$3,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.361435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked New York Yankees1c5,700$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked New York Mets47c5,500$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,91517248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked New York Mets47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6507647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9f…26e8backed New York Yankees36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed New York Yankees53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6509560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed88…e838backed New York Yankees62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked New York Yankees52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9844945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees26c4,695$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.198,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees47c4,213$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.712,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed New York Mets48c4,039$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6715…5085backed New York Yankees50c3,803$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees35c3,753$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.391,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Mets80c3,411$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.275344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets63c3,354$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.692,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Mets48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees26c2,996$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.3185235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed New York Mets37c2,700$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.1426245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets69c2,572$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.8612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed New York Mets47c2,511$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.642360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed New York Yankees66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees23c2,489$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.798,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets56c2,422$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.199,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets55c2,292$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.851,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Yankees55c2,182$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees48c2,075$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.754,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees66c2,028$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.7860350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets67c2,026$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.185,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked New York Yankees32c1,986$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.159846.9%46 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed New York Mets34c1,948$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.421,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees32c1,919$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.941,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Yankees3c1,737$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.191,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees44c1,626$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.221,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets54c1,619$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.6579147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees53c1,564$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.442,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed New York Yankees1c1,521$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.855852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked New York Mets69c1,444$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.09540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets46c1,400$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.76,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked New York Mets47c1,375$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.758441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets48c1,306$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.121,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed New York Mets47c1,306$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.6928850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ee…89a4backed New York Yankees8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003666.7%24 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked New York Mets61c1,238$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.458862.5%55 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64886653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets47c1,152$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.5792046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed New York Mets51c1,088$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.121,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed New York Yankees54c1,070$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.84252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4505…d28cbacked New York Yankees49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a92abacked New York Yankees53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53023754%128 W · 109 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb28a…56e0backed New York Mets46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5406100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed New York Mets48c950.4$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.1938353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets61c937.38$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed New York Yankees2c935.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.263929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed New York Yankees53c933.04$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.514233.3%14 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed New York Yankees45c875.9$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39525247.6%120 W · 132 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed New York Yankees37c874.47$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0514152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked New York Mets48c835.46$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4410143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed New York Yankees53c820$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets37c810$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.32,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed New York Yankees25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed New York Yankees10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809037.8%34 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees54c799.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43261947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked New York Yankees33c768.58$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.636764.2%43 W · 24 L+10.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed New York Yankees53c764.19$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0212441.1%51 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91c6…e35bbacked New York Yankees53c761$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets47c750$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.52,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed New York Mets69c723$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8247589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees40c715.58$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7134045%153 W · 187 L+1.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.