MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e01e4f12a0d3da5bd8034929a5bd185659ec57bb3e04d2079c900e451dd9d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Yankees, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,121,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,135,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,121,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd959…daf7backed New York Yankees | 53c | 394,367$209,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209,353.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked New York Mets | 47c | 331,463$155,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,675.25 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 102,783$54,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,447.34 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed New York Mets | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets | 47c | 93,289$43,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,443.36 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 93,012$49,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,296.43 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 47c | 90,000$42,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,700 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 53c | 78,000$41,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,080.03 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets | 48c | 30,549$14,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,932.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 59c | 20,500$11,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,505.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Yankees | 0c | 20,121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees | 54c | 18,473$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 46c | 15,903$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,587.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked New York Yankees | 53c | 15,094$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed New York Mets | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed New York Yankees | 53c | 13,170$6,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980.1 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked New York Mets | 47c | 10,770$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.1 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed New York Yankees | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 46c | 9,282$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.95 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 53c | 9,042$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 2c | 8,653$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed New York Yankees | 25c | 8,519$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…e597backed New York Yankees | 1c | 7,983$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed New York Yankees | 38c | 7,830$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed New York Yankees | 29c | 6,742$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.8 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees | 24c | 6,310$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.15 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Mets | 62c | 5,993$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.29 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 69c | 5,731$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.13 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed New York Mets | 57c | 5,725$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Yankees | 1c | 5,700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked New York Mets | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked New York Mets | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed New York Yankees | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed New York Yankees | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 26c | 4,695$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 4,213$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed New York Mets | 48c | 4,039$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…5085backed New York Yankees | 50c | 3,803$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 35c | 3,753$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.39 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed New York Mets | 80c | 3,411$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.2 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 63c | 3,354$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.69 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees | 26c | 2,996$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.31 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed New York Mets | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.14 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 69c | 2,572$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed New York Mets | 47c | 2,511$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed New York Yankees | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 23c | 2,489$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 56c | 2,422$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 55c | 2,292$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.85 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 48c | 2,075$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.75 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 2,028$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.78 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 67c | 2,026$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked New York Yankees | 32c | 1,986$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.15 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 34c | 1,948$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.42 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed New York Yankees | 32c | 1,919$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.94 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Yankees | 3c | 1,737$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 1,626$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.22 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 54c | 1,619$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.65 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,564$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.44 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Yankees | 1c | 1,521$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked New York Mets | 69c | 1,444$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,400$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 1,375$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.75 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,306$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.12 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,306$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.69 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed New York Yankees | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked New York Mets | 61c | 1,238$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.45 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,152$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.57 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed New York Yankees | 54c | 1,070$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.8 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…d28cbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…56e0backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed New York Mets | 48c | 950.4$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.19 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 61c | 937.38$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.22 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New York Yankees | 2c | 935.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed New York Yankees | 53c | 933.04$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.51 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed New York Yankees | 45c | 875.9$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Yankees | 37c | 874.47$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.05 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked New York Mets | 48c | 835.46$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed New York Yankees | 53c | 820$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Mets | 37c | 810$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.3 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed New York Yankees | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed New York Yankees | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked New York Yankees | 33c | 768.58$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.63 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 764.19$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.02 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 761$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed New York Mets | 69c | 723$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.82 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees | 40c | 715.58$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.71 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. New York Metsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.