TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7d69…e597

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+356.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonaldbacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Luca Potenza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.27
Roehampton 2: Fabrizio Andaloro vs Emile Huddbacked Fabrizio Andaloro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.67
Geneva Open, Qualification: Sebastian Ofner vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Geneva Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Shuai Zhangbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Valencia: Damir Dzumhur vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$185.87
Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$176
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+5,072.4%+$2,942
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Emanuel Ivanisevicbacked Emanuel Ivanisevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
La Bisbal: Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.55
Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Jiujiang: Mark Lajal vs Fajing Sunbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$6.36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.98
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.97
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$231.45
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.76
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$20.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.