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Tennis · resolved market

Geneva Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Alexandre Muller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Edas Butvilasof Edas Butvilas, Alexandre Muller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,616 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Edas Butvilas64c15,165$9,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,48221944.3%97 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexandre Muller31c12,496$3,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.699,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Alexandre Muller42c6,552$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75036844.6%164 W · 204 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Edas Butvilas55c3,313$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.74,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Alexandre Muller64c3,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alexandre Muller26c2,995$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.484,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Edas Butvilas58c1,987$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.616,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce9…61e5backed Edas Butvilas60c1,850$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.5411547%54 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Alexandre Muller63c1,591$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00095368.2%650 W · 303 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Edas Butvilas35c1,502$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.364,09039.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L+95.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Alexandre Muller11c1,401$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9638522.3%86 W · 299 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alexandre Muller28c1,261$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.73,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a3…801cbacked Edas Butvilas66c1,049$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.85366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Alexandre Muller35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Edas Butvilas39c930.62$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.222154.8%121 W · 100 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandre Muller30c856.57$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.558,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Alexandre Muller61c701.95$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.1932247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Edas Butvilas39c620.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.364763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Edas Butvilas37c613.94$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.793,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alexandre Muller26c598$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.875,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d69…e597backed Alexandre Muller7c499.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+356.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Edas Butvilas49c492.35$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5922033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Alexandre Muller57c444.44$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25368639.2%269 W · 417 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Edas Butvilas38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2486541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Edas Butvilas73c378.2$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.124,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Alexandre Muller63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007256.9%41 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Edas Butvilas39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834143.9%18 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f7…4ae3backed Alexandre Muller16c299.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.621315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick18cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…833ebacked Edas Butvilas61c278.77$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7710352.4%54 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Edas Butvilas57c264.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7623159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Edas Butvilas73c235$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.235187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Alexandre Muller48c225.43$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8380341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Alexandre Muller20c190.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2885624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Alexandre Muller27c184.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.622,10444.5%937 W · 1,167 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Edas Butvilas38c180$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.687135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Alexandre Muller45c171.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.892944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Alexandre Muller60c165.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.171,11152.8%587 W · 524 L+2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Alexandre Muller62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alexandre Muller62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,05959.5%1,226 W · 833 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Alexandre Muller61c157$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0745852%238 W · 220 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Alexandre Muller26c148.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.172,07846.7%970 W · 1,108 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a56…fbdcbacked Alexandre Muller37c135.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Edas Butvilas37c135.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.131,88745.8%864 W · 1,023 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Edas Butvilas37c135.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.131,88944.8%846 W · 1,043 L+36.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Edas Butvilas66c116$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.891,22354.9%672 W · 551 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Alexandre Muller62c99.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Alexandre Muller40c99.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051736.9%191 W · 326 L-39.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Alexandre Muller32c94.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,34846.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L+54.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Alexandre Muller31c93.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.732,10154.2%1,139 W · 962 L+65.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Edas Butvilas51c92.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5122551.6%116 W · 109 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42e…74b5backed Alexandre Muller47c91.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.994257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Alexandre Muller42c84.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3594549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Edas Butvilas80c81.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3137264.2%239 W · 133 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Alexandre Muller63c74.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Edas Butvilas60c70.91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.49,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Alexandre Muller39c63.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4583047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Alexandre Muller16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Edas Butvilas66c60.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4533661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Alexandre Muller50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Edas Butvilas38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.212933.3%43 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Edas Butvilas52c55.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7759440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alexandre Muller30c55.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.276,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Edas Butvilas64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.693542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Edas Butvilas55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5543358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexandre Muller44c54.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Edas Butvilas59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Alexandre Muller60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Alexandre Muller62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a65…7238backed Alexandre Muller63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309056.7%51 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Alexandre Muller50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Edas Butvilas38c43.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9216047.5%76 W · 84 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Edas Butvilas37c42.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.787,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Alexandre Muller44c40.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.782,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec99…146dbacked Alexandre Muller40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Edas Butvilas38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4751644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Alexandre Muller63c36.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.282,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3172…e940backed Alexandre Muller41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Edas Butvilas63c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3243067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Edas Butvilas38c36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.326038.3%23 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdf…ea3bbacked Edas Butvilas56c35.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d8…2a3ebacked Edas Butvilas63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.754355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Edas Butvilas55c30.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7353736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Edas Butvilas38c30.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6220942.6%89 W · 120 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c6…0b4dbacked Edas Butvilas71c28.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.36442.2%27 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Alexandre Muller62c27.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.182,44551.6%1,262 W · 1,183 L+8.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Edas Butvilas38c26.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3290340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe516…1d31backed Edas Butvilas65c22.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8117962.6%112 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Alexandre Muller62c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.454050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.