TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91d8…2a3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Lisa Pigatobacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$7.6
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Bengaluru 3: Maximus Jones vs Sasikumar Mukundbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Istanbul: Andres Martin vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Dalila Spiteri vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navonebacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.41
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Maria Sakkari vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Geneva Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Clement Taburbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Edas Butvilasbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$27.14
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Zagreb: Elmer Moeller vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$65.52
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$56.1
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Zhibek Kulambayevabacked Anastasia Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39%+$18.13
Paris: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Tyler Zinkbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Eva Lysbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$33.31
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-64.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$84
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.35
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55.72
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+189.4%+$96.62
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$92.91
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.18
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.42
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$92.87
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$263.44
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$77.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.71
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$102.5
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$49.44
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+197.9%+$37.77
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.91
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.85
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+69.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,008
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+178.4%+$469.15
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+449.5%+$163.6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.6
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$28.91
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.2
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.77
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$45.29
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$32.25
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$19.77
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$12.95
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+843.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+843.4%+$178.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+187.1%+$390.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$142.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.