Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3be29f68fe3d80b1d1f856311c723d79b1dfe3ff13dd8d2484c8a8469a5711d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 5c | 4,557$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…14cfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,924$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 2cpaid | +357.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…55e4backed No | 53c | 2,246$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.18 | 48 | 87.5%42 W · 6 L | +12.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 10c | 2,089$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 3c | 980.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 39c | 860.7$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.75 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 78c | 824.99$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.47 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…cc2cbacked Yes | 52c | 479.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 68 | 94.1%64 W · 4 L | +12.7wins | +0.19per pick | 75cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…691bbacked Yes | 43c | 415.59$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 42cpaid | +115%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 5c | 384.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 25c | 308.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 5c | 298.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 281.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 258$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…c614backed Yes | 58c | 240$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 65cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 233.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.14 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 219$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 210.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…cfd4backed No | 74c | 206.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 33c | 195.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 189.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 40c | 187$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +12.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 167.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed Yes | 23c | 136.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…6972backed No | 75c | 133.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 229 | 59.8%137 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 25c | 133.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 79c | 111.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 75c | 109.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 107.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…9ed8backed No | 75c | 101.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 24c | 93.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 91.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed No | 63c | 80.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 77c | 78.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…0045backed Yes | 31c | 74.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 21c | 73.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 24c | 71.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 72c | 64.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 21c | 59.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…f36fbacked Yes | 21c | 52.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 27c | 52.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…9044backed Yes | 28c | 51.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 51.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…8f66backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…4c27backed Yes | 37c | 48.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…8f53backed No | 67c | 44.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 67c | 44.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 25c | 43.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 24c | 43.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…62dfbacked Yes | 27c | 39.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 251 | 19.9%50 W · 201 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 75c | 39.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…30edbacked No | 60c | 33.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 30.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 77c | 30.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 25.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 80c | 24.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 66c | 22.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…3666backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 68c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 75c | 20.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc528…a153backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 79c | 19.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…df5abacked No | 59c | 19.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 63c | 17.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…8c10backed No | 77c | 14.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 75c | 13.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.