TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Zagreb: Elmer Moeller vs Zsombor Piros

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zsombor Pirosof Elmer Moeller, Zsombor Piros
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Zsombor Piros33c11,136$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,434.238,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elmer Moeller42c3,655$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.17,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Zsombor Piros79c2,817$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.951,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zsombor Piros70c2,812$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.796,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Elmer Moeller27c2,359$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.841,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6715…5085backed Zsombor Piros44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.731546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Elmer Moeller16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32032735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Zsombor Piros63c1,976$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.51,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elmer Moeller36c1,842$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.216,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Elmer Moeller48c1,695$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.16,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Zsombor Piros71c1,609$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.481,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Elmer Moeller35c1,436$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.784,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Elmer Moeller23c1,191$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27930225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zsombor Piros41c1,029$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Elmer Moeller29c1,005$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3732247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Elmer Moeller40c928.33$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.826555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Elmer Moeller43c838.02$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.974,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Elmer Moeller22c835.36$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7849252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Elmer Moeller59c827.17$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48448855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Zsombor Piros73c808.29$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2465651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Zsombor Piros41c788.99$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.1814835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Elmer Moeller28c781.78$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Zsombor Piros70c710.82$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.614,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Zsombor Piros53c682.45$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.484,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Elmer Moeller53c563.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Zsombor Piros19c537.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8387337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Zsombor Piros75c454.01$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.465,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Zsombor Piros46c432.49$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.6952341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Elmer Moeller26c414.63$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.826451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Elmer Moeller42c411.69$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.911,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Elmer Moeller25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10097141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Zsombor Piros58c371.25$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.143,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Elmer Moeller27c366.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9949447.2%233 W · 261 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Elmer Moeller23c326.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.452,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Zsombor Piros63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4660158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Elmer Moeller25c309.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6226451.5%136 W · 128 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x274e…1d72backed Elmer Moeller25c299.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.993732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+93.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2690…4089backed Elmer Moeller23c295.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.95345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zsombor Piros76c288.71$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.288,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Elmer Moeller38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Zsombor Piros76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1613440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Elmer Moeller24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Elmer Moeller43c225.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2116552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Elmer Moeller47c211.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Elmer Moeller51c208.61$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.41,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Zsombor Piros73c206.59$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5621317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bb…cfdfbacked Elmer Moeller27c203.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Elmer Moeller23c201.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4644527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Elmer Moeller55c186.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.841,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Zsombor Piros72c185.56$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0646453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Elmer Moeller27c183.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.565942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Elmer Moeller54c178.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.249943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Zsombor Piros59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4973350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Elmer Moeller27c163.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422035.9%79 W · 141 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Elmer Moeller31c154.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3665346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Zsombor Piros74c149.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Elmer Moeller44c145.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Elmer Moeller47c141.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.811,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dab…e5c0backed Zsombor Piros79c135.58$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5316028.8%46 W · 114 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Zsombor Piros32c130.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5353736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Elmer Moeller45c130.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0178350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Elmer Moeller69c129.26$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2456070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Zsombor Piros57c127.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2839845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Elmer Moeller76c121.26$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Zsombor Piros76c118.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0583047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Elmer Moeller41c118.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.13,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8395…516cbacked Zsombor Piros43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.282842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x531c…b0a6backed Elmer Moeller24c111$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31c…9af2backed Zsombor Piros76c111$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Zsombor Piros76c104.78$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7629533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Elmer Moeller79c102.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3635060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Zsombor Piros78c102.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6836264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf5…e0d5backed Elmer Moeller23c102.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.545642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x524d…4982backed Zsombor Piros79c101.43$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Zsombor Piros61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Zsombor Piros75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Zsombor Piros71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2923865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Zsombor Piros74c99.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1718…c327backed Zsombor Piros78c95.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.17560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Elmer Moeller40c94.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.362,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Zsombor Piros74c89.23$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.233650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e3…5345backed Zsombor Piros73c89.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Elmer Moeller57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508245.1%37 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9f…a586backed Elmer Moeller54c86.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.744250%21 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Zsombor Piros79c85.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7415151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Elmer Moeller25c82.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219335.5%33 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Elmer Moeller21c81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.854,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Zsombor Piros75c80.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2650958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Elmer Moeller21c79.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.712,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zsombor Piros19c79.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Elmer Moeller37c77.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.441,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Zsombor Piros76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.952,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Zsombor Piros23c74.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.581,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Elmer Moeller56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Elmer Moeller48c69.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.142,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Elmer Moeller22c67.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.073349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Zsombor Piros76c65.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9143358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Zsombor Piros79c63.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6421655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc68b…3c2dbacked Elmer Moeller26c61.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Elmer Moeller44c59.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267856.4%44 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.