Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a0e7757cda03a109804fc07f882e2e5b0de259bde8ba7486e63c4d144685978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b0a…5315backed Yes | 2c | 6,660$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 2c | 823.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 19c | 629.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Yes | 27c | 582.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 466.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 449.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 4c | 419.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 80c | 370.87$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 353.57$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 8c | 340$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 19c | 334.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 11c | 323.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 71c | 300$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 77c | 297.37$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 16c | 258.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed Yes | 15c | 229.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 25c | 212.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 10c | 206.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 9c | 179.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 178.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…7b50backed Yes | 25c | 170.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 29c | 160.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 76c | 159.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74af…316cbacked Yes | 12c | 158.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 71c | 153$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 20c | 150.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 140.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 75c | 133.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 14c | 131.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 127.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 73c | 117.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 18c | 114.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 23c | 104.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 25c | 104.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…20e8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 18c | 99.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 24c | 95.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 74c | 81.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed No | 78c | 75.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 74.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 70c | 71.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…7718backed Yes | 21c | 71.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…7f2bbacked Yes | 14c | 70.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 66.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 26c | 63.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 23c | 61.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Yes | 25c | 59.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 32c | 56.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 18c | 55.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed Yes | 23c | 54.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 54.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 52.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…f4fcbacked Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…4c27backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 24c | 47.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 31c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 80c | 46.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…b4dabacked No | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 78c | 44.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 44.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 72c | 44.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…20c1backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 74c | 40.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 77c | 35.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 72c | 31.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…f910backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…3525backed No | 70c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bc…e100backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…af8bbacked No | 71c | 27.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 72c | 26.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 73c | 25.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed No | 68c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…bc8bbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 78c | 17.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.