Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bff2b9094511259a408f0abd8951885fcafa971d0acb0df1f7d6aab6761064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 23c | 713.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 44c | 679.85$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.05 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Yes | 36c | 572.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.46 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 503.52$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 29c | 487.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 35c | 461.59$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.22 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 439.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 384.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 51c | 331.3$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 50c | 326.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed No | 67c | 299.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 298.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 296$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 293.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 67c | 270.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 48c | 265.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeead…178dbacked Yes | 79c | 252.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 57c | 246.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 34c | 244.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked Yes | 49c | 241.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 239.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 238.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 48c | 215.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 20c | 198.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 18c | 194.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 41c | 192.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed Yes | 31c | 192.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 53c | 188.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 37c | 186.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 21c | 186.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 183.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 162.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 63c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 153.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 53c | 152.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed No | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 35c | 147.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 145.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 57c | 143.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 136.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 55c | 133.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 52c | 133.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 132.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 49c | 129.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 126.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 15c | 114.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 43c | 111$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 110.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 38c | 108.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 10c | 108$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 39c | 106$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked No | 11c | 103.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 43c | 103$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 62c | 101.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 101.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 48c | 97.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 75c | 96.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…7f34backed Yes | 34c | 95.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 57c | 92.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 35c | 84.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 60c | 83.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 56c | 82.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 45c | 79.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 22c | 78.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4746backed Yes | 30c | 78.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 38c | 78.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 19c | 75.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 60c | 75.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 41c | 73.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 37c | 72.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 48c | 72.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 35c | 71.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…427abacked No | 29c | 71.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 43c | 70.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 39c | 69.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 43c | 67.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 27c | 67.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 66.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 43c | 66.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 42c | 62.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 30c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 66c | 60.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 47c | 58.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 48c | 58.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 45c | 57.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 69c | 57.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…5315backed Yes | 44c | 56.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…af82backed Yes | 53c | 56.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 46c | 55.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 43c | 51.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.