Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd8b1117da55f0023484e8ca3f86978de9c95a6d44243f784b7faf2143fbdeb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 25c | 1,386$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.11 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 15c | 984.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…ef8ebacked Yes | 2c | 739.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 3c | 585.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 10c | 569.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 22c | 521.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed Yes | 2c | 504.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 21c | 456.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…94cbbacked No | 80c | 443.84$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 29c | 430.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 23c | 428.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 28c | 421.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 26c | 363.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 27c | 359.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 19c | 322.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 310.59$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 65c | 309.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 26c | 283.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 18c | 277.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 275.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 270.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…e555backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 35c | 244.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 235.69$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 235.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked No | 71c | 207.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 72c | 204.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…5f61backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 25c | 186.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 32c | 185.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed Yes | 27c | 180.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 25c | 178$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 17c | 175.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7211…6734backed Yes | 38c | 175.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…1577backed Yes | 33c | 171.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 24c | 164.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 24c | 162.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 156.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 28c | 147.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 146.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 144.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…baadbacked Yes | 29c | 134.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 75c | 133.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a57…0765backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 26c | 124.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 124.62$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…2321backed Yes | 25c | 124.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 117.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 19c | 103.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 26c | 102.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 49c | 102.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed No | 78c | 99.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 22c | 98.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked Yes | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 21c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 22c | 89.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 88.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…739abacked No | 79c | 85.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 84.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked Yes | 44c | 79.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 65c | 78.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 35c | 75.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 32c | 75.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 28c | 74.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 79c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…a731backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 28c | 71.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 68.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…a955backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082d…a226backed Yes | 23c | 67.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 66.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 75c | 66.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 39c | 64.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 39c | 63.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 39c | 60.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1674backed No | 76c | 59.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 60c | 58.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 45c | 56.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 23c | 55.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed No | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 52.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 21c | 51.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.