TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f26…93bc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT5641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.8
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$62.07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$24.33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$18.32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.76
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.6
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$33.89
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$84.99
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Will 3+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Will the announcers say "Fan" 5+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will the announcers say "Penalty" 5+ times during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will the announcers say "Presence" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the announcers say "Long ball" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$26.6
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will 2+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Will the announcers say "Free Kick 10+ times" during Netherlands vs Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.4
Will the announcers say "Pocket" during Netherlands vs Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Marc Guéhi be in England's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.67
Will João Félix be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Warren Zaïre-Emery be in France's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.46
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$45.44
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$18.25
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $17B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$12.82
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.6B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+235.6%+$35.1
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+495.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+274.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nuke Be Removed by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Team Weibo (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+30%+$6.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menerybacked Manziel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucasfilm announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.