TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bc…4f35backed No7c237.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No42c168.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes50c127$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.58366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85ee…a64abacked Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.045168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+57.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes56c86.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1615747.8%75 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No51c75.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.411439.5%45 W · 69 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes48c65.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2935954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x313e…8498backed Yes56c58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.924037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No45c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5521944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f26…93bcbacked Yes59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.352259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c61…5cf1backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…580cbacked Yes78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.864951%25 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.