TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes73c1,336$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.8948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No28c449.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No8c221$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6624037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed No21c150$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No16c133.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3823357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No28c123.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4945736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No27c94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3813148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No27c69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6316333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6850…1e19backed No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x333d…e8b7backed No27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa306…a39dbacked No27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+69.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed No26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211749.6%58 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed No26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.