TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Colombia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x97ea…3363backed No28c524.52$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.914738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes4c495.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes77c339.98$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3935958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No24c310.21$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.841,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes51c252.23$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0648961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes59c189.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.721063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No47c183.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8624037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5415…2a6ebacked Yes63c108$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.328366.3%55 W · 28 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No19c80.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4776445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes42c57.3$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0542737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No29c52.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4111928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No46c42.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.18253.7%44 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes41c42.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3211256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked Yes65c41.48$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.116358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed No26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.65545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed No26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.64965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No34c32.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.182,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes53c20.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9215859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.