Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa6086535a4b3145e9f7378dd58a7a8c30c4b15bd4fe17eb6990817f5cd3cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,414,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,908,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,414,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,521 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb53…0412backed Yes | 1c | 629,239$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 80c | 408,882$326,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,088.4 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked No | 79c | 296,550$235,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,987.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9c7fbacked Yes | 2c | 263,319$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…3103backed Yes | 37c | 234,773$86,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,540.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 199,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…d2a1backed Yes | 33c | 185,475$61,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,141.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb80…a905backed Yes | 21c | 180,983$37,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,734.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 3c | 166,523$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.71 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…9186backed Yes | 10c | 159,258$15,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,538.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…4fb9backed No | 65c | 151,768$99,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,421.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…afb5backed Yes | 0c | 151,000$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 149,715$6,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.32 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…c644backed Yes | 6c | 132,572$8,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,453.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 32c | 126,851$40,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,636.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 6c | 123,596$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,127.59 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 36c | 113,462$40,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,919.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked No | 69c | 109,388$75,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,904.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…8c1fbacked Yes | 7c | 106,846$7,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,511.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 102,940$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.82 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed No | 67c | 102,021$68,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,514.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 80c | 100,757$80,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,318 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…918cbacked No | 80c | 99,096$79,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,965.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…a653backed Yes | 35c | 96,035$33,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,615.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 4c | 90,168$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…e497backed Yes | 16c | 86,471$14,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,007.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 67c | 81,462$54,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,836 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 6c | 79,532$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,721.39 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…bf6abacked Yes | 13c | 79,506$10,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,365.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…6712backed No | 68c | 78,060$52,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,255.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked No | 69c | 67,702$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,701.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 67,701$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.06 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…702bbacked Yes | 21c | 67,151$14,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,053.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd709…5f46backed Yes | 12c | 61,648$7,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,540.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 61,029$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.73 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 41c | 58,910$24,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,128.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 11c | 58,543$6,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.72 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 1c | 58,453$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.39 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…11bbbacked Yes | 14c | 58,210$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 80c | 56,229$44,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,283.21 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…45adbacked Yes | 8c | 56,053$4,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ee…894bbacked Yes | 19c | 55,928$10,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,429.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 61c | 54,920$33,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,667.62 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 57c | 54,606$31,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,294.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 52,691$36,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,650.35 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…0b1abacked Yes | 10c | 52,680$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…d0c5backed No | 73c | 52,200$37,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,288.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked Yes | 46c | 50,831$23,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,444.17 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…3e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 50,085$13,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,082.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…d29dbacked Yes | 8c | 48,463$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 67c | 47,294$31,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,808.3 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 36c | 47,161$17,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,010.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 60c | 44,125$26,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,443.88 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…bb11backed No | 74c | 44,028$32,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,608.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38cb…2752backed Yes | 6c | 42,048$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1180backed No | 67c | 42,022$28,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,844.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…1f8abacked Yes | 1c | 41,776$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.14 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Yes | 32c | 40,509$12,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,795.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 5c | 40,084$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.08 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…2d03backed Yes | 51c | 39,411$19,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,935.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…87e0backed No | 57c | 37,840$21,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,434.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 37,814$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…b09bbacked No | 72c | 37,055$26,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,311.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed No | 79c | 36,961$29,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,616.77 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 25c | 36,681$9,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,103.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 59c | 36,622$21,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,155.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…4eacbacked No | 67c | 36,066$24,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 34,963$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…625bbacked Yes | 30c | 34,937$10,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,447.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 66c | 34,504$22,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,798.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 14c | 33,896$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.05 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 41c | 33,678$13,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,661.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…b78ebacked Yes | 43c | 32,000$13,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,746.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 71c | 31,438$22,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,130.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Yes | 41c | 30,817$12,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,533.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 52c | 30,233$15,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,570.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 21c | 28,774$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.06 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 40c | 28,162$11,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,162.78 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…625cbacked No | 67c | 28,033$18,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,198.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…4845backed No | 74c | 27,603$20,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,191.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…7254backed Yes | 7c | 27,468$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 71c | 27,120$19,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,864.78 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…d6edbacked No | 72c | 26,903$19,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd9…cda3backed No | 54c | 26,682$14,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,301.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes | 38c | 26,360$9,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,965.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 1c | 26,022$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.11 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930a…f1aebacked Yes | 12c | 25,735$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Yes | 44c | 25,690$11,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,314.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 5c | 25,398$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.92 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 71c | 25,380$17,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,421.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…8b38backed Yes | 13c | 25,136$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…912bbacked No | 65c | 25,000$16,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,870.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ce…865cbacked Yes | 6c | 24,919$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 39c | 24,667$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500.33 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 24c | 24,489$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,877.04 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 31c | 24,334$7,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,543.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 61c | 24,219$14,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,520.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…0ba5backed Yes | 3c | 24,078$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked No | 69c | 23,770$16,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,301.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.