Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63e3c9432d9e3a0e9665d1152fc0a05f6ed17c9033eb9290062d25d2afb2bed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,893,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,699,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,893,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 14c | 118,755$17,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,166.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 23c | 89,053$20,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,580.23 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 32c | 74,821$24,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,256.35 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…0427backed No | 11c | 70,517$7,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,825.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 48c | 58,875$28,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,207.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked No | 34c | 47,546$16,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,140.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 68c | 46,830$31,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,952.29 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked No | 20c | 39,061$7,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,751.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked No | 15c | 38,765$5,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed Yes | 73c | 38,645$28,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,587.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 74c | 38,544$28,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,937.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…2144backed No | 27c | 38,490$10,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,543.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 46c | 38,128$17,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,455.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked No | 38c | 34,760$13,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,150.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e2c3backed No | 7c | 33,136$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 31c | 32,948$10,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,282.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…5f59backed Yes | 69c | 28,962$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,962.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 28c | 26,047$7,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,377.1 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 36c | 24,992$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,119.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed No | 22c | 22,902$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5d9ebacked Yes | 58c | 21,402$12,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,972.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 34c | 21,371$7,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,322.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 48c | 18,593$8,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,940 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 16c | 18,373$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.52 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…3045backed No | 42c | 16,643$6,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967.88 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 31c | 15,662$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 41c | 15,281$6,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9841…5189backed Yes | 76c | 14,208$10,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Yes | 67c | 11,963$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 76c | 11,931$9,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…1898backed Yes | 59c | 11,736$6,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed No | 43c | 10,635$4,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked No | 19c | 10,200$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed No | 31c | 10,200$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.2 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 29c | 10,070$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…5f1bbacked Yes | 53c | 10,013$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked No | 35c | 10,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412e…0cb6backed No | 51c | 9,809$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed No | 40c | 9,241$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 75c | 8,601$6,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 35c | 8,378$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…2a1cbacked Yes | 54c | 8,369$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 59c | 8,340$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.25 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…7252backed No | 50c | 8,001$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…6812backed No | 49c | 7,638$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 28c | 7,223$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.37 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 16c | 6,388$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…448cbacked Yes | 67c | 6,352$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 55c | 6,009$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.05 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 28c | 6,003$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.78 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 31c | 6,001$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 33c | 5,858$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed No | 30c | 5,654$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked No | 37c | 5,427$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 30c | 5,293$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.8 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…161fbacked No | 48c | 5,181$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 14c | 5,067$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.23 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed Yes | 80c | 4,900$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.7 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 19c | 4,834$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.25 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,741$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…64a7backed No | 21c | 4,715$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87e0…6b20backed No | 21c | 4,670$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed No | 29c | 4,257$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.4 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 31c | 4,230$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed No | 7c | 3,928$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…f516backed No | 15c | 3,820$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…f263backed No | 27c | 3,730$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 69c | 3,671$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…6ff7backed Yes | 57c | 3,661$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked No | 37c | 3,626$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.09 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…002cbacked Yes | 61c | 3,523$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed No | 41c | 3,278$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 21c | 3,199$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.7 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…2a55backed Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…6d23backed No | 3c | 3,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…8265backed Yes | 70c | 2,943$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…8159backed No | 53c | 2,838$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked No | 11c | 2,600$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…fc5ebacked No | 6c | 2,594$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 15c | 2,392$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…3b90backed No | 17c | 2,339$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1779…4822backed Yes | 79c | 2,329$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 75c | 2,279$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.35 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed No | 29c | 2,273$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 18c | 2,269$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 35c | 2,248$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.44 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…e69dbacked No | 15c | 2,247$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed No | 37c | 2,090$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.04 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 10c | 2,078$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed Yes | 63c | 2,077$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4329…b63bbacked No | 11c | 2,046$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.45 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…4deabacked No | 52c | 2,044$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed No | 29c | 2,000$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…b193backed No | 18c | 2,000$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 1,927$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.38 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d23…a7e2backed No | 51c | 1,836$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…203cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,750$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 35c | 1,742$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.16 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.