Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f01fcc4fa9ca9871189d8f4a1121bb31784c889d78f82e2f6de32381e3d894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,003,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,459,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,003,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 199,996$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 0c | 134,566$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.82 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 77,547$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 59,633$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.69 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 45,094$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.19 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…9342backed Yes | 1c | 40,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…0cb7backed Yes | 1c | 23,980$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 23,728$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed Yes | 7c | 21,802$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 21,307$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 19,792$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.04 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…a007backed Yes | 0c | 19,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Yes | 0c | 18,336$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…dcd1backed Yes | 1c | 16,779$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…44b8backed Yes | 2c | 15,010$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,907$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 1c | 13,941$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 13,146$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,733$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.72 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 12,048$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…3bccbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…782ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 3c | 11,639$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…ede7backed Yes | 1c | 10,571$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 6c | 10,440$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…7e17backed Yes | 1c | 10,194$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 1c | 9,745$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,720$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,170$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 9,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 8,943$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 6c | 7,930$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495e…ad10backed Yes | 6c | 7,913$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.34 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed Yes | 0c | 7,659$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 2c | 7,390$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…d7debacked Yes | 1c | 7,180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…e02abacked Yes | 1c | 7,100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,627$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3166…2341backed Yes | 1c | 6,564$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…80aabacked Yes | 1c | 6,499$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…95cdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,598$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,440$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 5,335$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.62 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…ecc2backed Yes | 0c | 5,254$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…fe13backed Yes | 3c | 5,168$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…886abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15be…a491backed Yes | 0c | 4,932$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 0c | 4,720$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…da0abacked Yes | 2c | 4,341$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 4c | 4,226$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…402fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,199$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.63 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…7707backed Yes | 0c | 4,194$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 4c | 4,164$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…0835backed Yes | 2c | 4,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc7…8c0abacked Yes | 9c | 3,581$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,459$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 1c | 3,425$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Yes | 6c | 3,415$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…0959backed Yes | 5c | 3,342$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce29…3518backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b00…7e48backed Yes | 0c | 2,869$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…a641backed Yes | 0c | 2,866$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa91d…6261backed Yes | 0c | 2,813$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…6400backed Yes | 0c | 2,674$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f74…251ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,653$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afb…7f1cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,285$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…0663backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…6bbebacked Yes | 1c | 2,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 5c | 2,065$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…3a31backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37a…3687backed Yes | 1c | 1,999$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,987$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,977$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,785$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…c226backed Yes | 1c | 1,699$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,690$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 6c | 1,685$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,639$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…e2c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,556$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,484$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd7…e1ebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,465$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…f516backed Yes | 6c | 1,410$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…b38bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,364$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…482dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,304$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda52…239dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,257$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563e…6f4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,052$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 1,023$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 5c | 1,018$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…cf32backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 999.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 3c | 932.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 3c | 874.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed Yes | 6c | 835.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 3c | 800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6f…d79abacked Yes | 6c | 781.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 761.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…55b1backed Yes | 4c | 750$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…c98abacked Yes | 4c | 711$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.