Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e8440830c8cdccb524700bf0be33f35df2f0278bff7b843f8073235c96da886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,056,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,925,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,056,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 8c | 535,284$42,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,820.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…70cfbacked Yes | 14c | 158,930$21,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,986.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…bac2backed Yes | 20c | 133,904$26,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,514.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…78d5backed Yes | 3c | 114,890$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…3b36backed Yes | 12c | 114,126$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 1c | 84,201$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.68 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 5c | 71,847$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.14 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 10c | 60,000$5,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,735.03 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 12c | 58,472$6,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,761.46 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…0b1abacked Yes | 17c | 45,474$7,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,755.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…74babacked Yes | 10c | 44,477$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9d…45debacked Yes | 2c | 43,499$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 9c | 35,371$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.74 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…28c7backed Yes | 2c | 28,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…bfc1backed Yes | 20c | 27,330$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,553.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 23c | 25,613$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.13 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Yes | 16c | 25,000$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.79 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 2c | 24,661$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.91 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 23c | 22,431$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…eddcbacked Yes | 13c | 22,250$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 21,189$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 3c | 20,195$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.12 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…c7c5backed Yes | 18c | 19,317$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 17,434$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,791$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 16,673$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 8c | 15,812$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.35 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…1989backed Yes | 11c | 15,337$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 19c | 15,000$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.03 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -95%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…3c26backed Yes | 11c | 14,857$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…0a06backed Yes | 14c | 13,818$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 3c | 13,817$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.05 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 22c | 13,603$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.3 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 79c | 13,346$10,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.05 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 12,416$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked Yes | 12c | 12,114$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…b324backed Yes | 17c | 12,011$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…821cbacked Yes | 19c | 12,000$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…8b38backed Yes | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…ee68backed Yes | 5c | 11,770$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed Yes | 13c | 11,021$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…9186backed Yes | 13c | 10,973$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3d12backed Yes | 14c | 10,289$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fbf6backed Yes | 19c | 10,166$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.75 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a562backed Yes | 1c | 9,673$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Yes | 15c | 9,501$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.73 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc665…8c1ebacked Yes | 13c | 9,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 11c | 9,000$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 10c | 8,849$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.87 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…b319backed Yes | 17c | 8,457$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.24 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e5f7backed Yes | 12c | 8,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…2fedbacked Yes | 10c | 7,987$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.45 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…23d9backed Yes | 3c | 7,889$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d721backed Yes | 19c | 7,836$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…38a1backed Yes | 20c | 7,580$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…e358backed No | 80c | 7,508$5,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…2225backed Yes | 23c | 7,271$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed Yes | 15c | 7,145$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…18eabacked Yes | 4c | 7,008$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…15fdbacked No | 79c | 6,436$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 5c | 6,231$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…633ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,129$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 2c | 6,126$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…0f89backed Yes | 15c | 6,086$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 7c | 6,032$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…6078backed Yes | 16c | 6,000$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…fc02backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,845$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.98 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…e93ebacked Yes | 12c | 5,833$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 5,828$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 5,819$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…02efbacked Yes | 17c | 5,812$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed No | 77c | 5,809$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…ca8bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,612$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9877…13a8backed Yes | 9c | 5,593$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,337$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…b056backed Yes | 29c | 5,072$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.87 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 14c | 5,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…bb2ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…8a43backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…0a45backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…bce1backed Yes | 0c | 4,998$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7e…b925backed Yes | 15c | 4,852$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…f5ecbacked No | 79c | 4,590$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…be8ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,302$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…c2a7backed Yes | 14c | 4,242$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,222$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…463abacked No | 80c | 4,200$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 11c | 4,102$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.04 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 6c | 4,070$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.3 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 4c | 4,068$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 78 | 1.3%1 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 16c | 4,044$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.69 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…c1f1backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…9eaebacked Yes | 11c | 3,900$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…9e9abacked Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.