Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e8e585d855c4288c3805064e74fc7ea1dab47dc0e9b42a0dbd9ca5f49c997f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,969,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,648,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,969,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 206,142$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.17 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 7c | 178,087$13,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,289.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 28c | 131,832$36,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,912.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 1c | 120,475$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.91 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…039dbacked Yes | 2c | 103,411$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.75 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…64a7backed Yes | 32c | 82,689$26,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,318.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 82,471$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.27 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 70,637$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.18 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…4816backed Yes | 21c | 65,364$13,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,790.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…f6ccbacked Yes | 21c | 55,401$11,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,455.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 2c | 48,170$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.68 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…6d23backed Yes | 31c | 44,356$13,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,671.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked No | 76c | 44,166$33,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,695.04 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 4c | 40,364$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.09 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 5c | 40,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 30c | 37,354$11,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,227.48 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 34,287$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…4e37backed Yes | 4c | 33,338$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 71c | 30,289$21,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,872.78 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 29,868$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…7922backed Yes | 0c | 28,328$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Yes | 0c | 27,846$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc893…b7b0backed Yes | 2c | 25,500$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed Yes | 12c | 25,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 73c | 24,041$17,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,532.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…2fd2backed Yes | 0c | 23,750$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 9c | 23,323$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.47 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked Yes | 6c | 21,224$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed No | 69c | 20,134$13,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 10c | 18,664$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 74c | 16,283$12,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Yes | 2c | 16,156$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 78c | 15,330$11,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…cac3backed Yes | 4c | 15,065$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed Yes | 4c | 14,447$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.03 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…3822backed Yes | 0c | 14,333$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12da…d12dbacked No | 72c | 14,218$10,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed Yes | 22c | 13,450$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 64c | 13,001$8,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed No | 68c | 13,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…5434backed Yes | 3c | 12,844$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…d7debacked Yes | 3c | 12,010$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…782ebacked Yes | 3c | 12,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…201bbacked No | 77c | 11,724$8,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…c5efbacked Yes | 1c | 11,415$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 3c | 11,274$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Yes | 28c | 11,090$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…f533backed Yes | 1c | 11,080$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…21c5backed Yes | 17c | 11,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 69c | 10,786$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a3…6bd4backed Yes | 1c | 10,524$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…932cbacked Yes | 4c | 10,222$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,024$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…565bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 4c | 9,463$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 79c | 9,222$7,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.08 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7907…7e4abacked Yes | 4c | 9,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 8,571$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d750backed Yes | 4c | 8,566$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…6f8fbacked Yes | 3c | 8,560$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…ed5fbacked Yes | 3c | 8,193$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed No | 79c | 8,013$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…68b0backed Yes | 2c | 8,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 73c | 7,815$5,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.23 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…7707backed Yes | 1c | 7,764$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 1c | 7,731$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…e520backed Yes | 27c | 7,670$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…4cdcbacked Yes | 1c | 7,620$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…0a4abacked Yes | 2c | 7,570$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed Yes | 3c | 7,251$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 73c | 7,113$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 7,020$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 2c | 6,951$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.89 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 36c | 6,800$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…d5afbacked Yes | 3c | 6,766$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…b432backed No | 76c | 6,595$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…203cbacked Yes | 29c | 6,500$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 4c | 6,250$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…62e1backed No | 72c | 6,200$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…4f21backed Yes | 1c | 6,004$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 7c | 5,986$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51c…eedbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,937$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed No | 77c | 5,916$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afb…7f1cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,871$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a46…bdf4backed Yes | 5c | 5,726$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 28c | 5,546$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.18 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…4d36backed Yes | 1c | 5,413$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 4c | 5,314$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.93 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,199$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 5,184$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…e62abacked Yes | 10c | 5,082$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5d…be63backed Yes | 3c | 5,058$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 1c | 5,030$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…d6f3backed Yes | 3c | 5,008$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1885…eb78backed Yes | 28c | 4,996$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.