TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6a7…5049

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: UFC, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 60 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-73.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.27
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$18.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.73
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.81
Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.36
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$349.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$897.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$224.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$63.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$467.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$239.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$426.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+228.1%+$147.38
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+80.8%+$35.76
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+109.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$81.96
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.73
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$207.54
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40.5
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+157.6%+$97.9
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+226.8%+$489.68
Santos vs. Chiassonbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+190.6%+$235.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.93
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.33
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16.45
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$53.5
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.3
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$27.6
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+77%+$17.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+220.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.94
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+541.3%+$149.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+203%+$46.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Will Parma win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.59
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$89.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
D4vd arrested by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.