Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1438c379684fc0506de1146f790b8df8f47049e2cd2a2c11155a7c692af8e293
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $705,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $706,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 52c | 688,165$357,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357,767.64 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 48c | 319,193$153,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,980.6 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Over | 48c | 133,337$64,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,335.24 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 125,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 8,868$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 49c | 7,777$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.27 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.88 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 51c | 1,953$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.64 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 49c | 1,706$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.84 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 326.07$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…91fcbacked Over | 50c | 302$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 50c | 219.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…5809backed Over | 52c | 193.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 138.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 50c | 60.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 55.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Over | 51c | 48.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 48.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9899…a7f5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 36.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Over | 50c | 33.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…663fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…e11bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…40e5backed Over | 52c | 19.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 148.5this page
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)Detroit Titans won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit TitansWright State Raiders won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.