Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae243268b2c9c8ee56c1420f5ccd19cef701836042cedc331c9254322ae51559
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Wright State Raiders, Detroit Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wright State Raiders | 71c | 1,034$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Titans | 33c | 890.07$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.71 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Detroit Titans | 2c | 760$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Detroit Titans | 35c | 724.41$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Detroit Titans | 9c | 681.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wright State Raiders | 68c | 540.58$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Detroit Titans | 5c | 509.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Titans | 5c | 483.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Detroit Titans | 33c | 330$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Detroit Titans | 5c | 271$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Detroit Titans | 33c | 160.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Detroit Titans | 9c | 118.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Detroit Titans | 32c | 117$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Wright State Raiders | 68c | 116$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Wright State Raiders | 69c | 105.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Wright State Raiders | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Detroit Titans | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Detroit Titans | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Titans | 31c | 97.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Titans | 36c | 90.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…c435backed Detroit Titans | 13c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Wright State Raiders | 68c | 70.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wright State Raiders | 66c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wright State Raiders | 77c | 59.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Detroit Titans | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Detroit Titans | 38c | 48.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Wright State Raiders | 67c | 41.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Wright State Raiders | 67c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Detroit Titans | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Detroit Titans | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Wright State Raiders | 59c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…d7f3backed Wright State Raiders | 68c | 29.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…3703backed Wright State Raiders | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Wright State Raiders | 68c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titansthis page
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-5.5)Detroit Titans won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 147.5Over won
- Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.