TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x337e…d7f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.52
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$8.73
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.23
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$11.39
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.18
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$8.54
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Giants vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.88
Guardians vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Guardians vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$6.55
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$15.52
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.48
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.63
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$21.24
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.51
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+566.7%+$64.37
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.13
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.43
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+488.2%+$68.55
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$18.28
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-58.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Chattanooga Mocs vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.97
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.34
Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titansbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.29
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigersbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.14
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.37
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.32
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.57
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+25%+$3.43
Saints vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.27
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.94
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+134.9%+$15.17
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.76
Sharks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.