MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x243fe4016130fe533f9c10ef2d1e192554e52c69b26869585ad23b351de628a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 52c | 89,020$46,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,380.55 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mets | 71c | 76,928$54,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,442.98 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mets | 47c | 60,902$28,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,623.71 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 48c | 45,927$22,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000.98 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 44c | 41,232$18,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,150.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 53c | 34,685$18,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,433.56 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mets | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.95 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 47c | 21,087$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,965.91 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 21c | 16,067$3,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,729.97 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Phillies | 54c | 11,822$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,438.24 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 52c | 10,888$5,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226.24 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 27c | 10,553$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,717.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 33c | 9,207$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.9 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Phillies | 55c | 7,962$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.18 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 53c | 7,500$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 61c | 5,452$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.59 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Mets | 15c | 4,529$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.35 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Mets | 45c | 4,392$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Phillies | 55c | 4,001$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.45 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Phillies | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mets | 24c | 3,700$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.82 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 46c | 3,253$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.58 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Phillies | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.97 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 47c | 2,830$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.71 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 54c | 2,109$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.24 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mets | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 73c | 1,583$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 64c | 1,478$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.46 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 63c | 1,444$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 35c | 1,443$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.61 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Phillies | 53c | 1,368$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.95 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 48c | 1,118$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Phillies | 54c | 1,054$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phillies | 33c | 992.35$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 67c | 872.66$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.52 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mets | 61c | 850.4$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.95 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Phillies | 23c | 803.65$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.25 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 44c | 799.95$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 31c | 772.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.35 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Phillies | 14c | 715.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.66 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Phillies | 54c | 690.74$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.74 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Phillies | 30c | 670.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.37 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Phillies | 15c | 600$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Phillies | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 53c | 530$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Mets | 43c | 506$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.64 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Phillies | 59c | 500$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.73 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Phillies | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Phillies | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…9647backed Phillies | 56c | 466.93$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mets | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mets | 48c | 409.32$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Mets | 46c | 380.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.24 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Phillies | 53c | 379$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 15c | 373.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.07 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Mets | 66c | 369$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.75 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Phillies | 28c | 365.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mets | 45c | 365$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…3dd5backed Mets | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Mets | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 17c | 321.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Phillies | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Phillies | 15c | 273.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.81 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Phillies | 44c | 271$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 53c | 269$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…9be5backed Phillies | 56c | 258.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mets | 78c | 250$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Phillies | 37c | 227$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mets | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Mets | 69c | 206.82$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Phillies | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 54c | 194$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Phillies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Phillies | 53c | 187.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Phillies | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 47c | 177.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Mets | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 34c | 168.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 76c | 151.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Phillies | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Mets | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Phillies | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mets | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Phillies | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Philliesthis page
- Mets vs. Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.