MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9ded76265e08f6b0eb17526354647e2643dd465496cebe559a7136f3956edf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Guardians, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Guardians | 39c | 17,980$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,080 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 61c | 14,999$9,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.62 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rays | 59c | 11,040$6,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.49 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rays | 63c | 10,967$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Guardians | 39c | 10,005$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.95 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Rays | 61c | 8,436$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 41c | 6,288$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.78 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 22c | 4,896$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.01 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 39c | 4,855$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.55 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 40c | 4,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 4c | 3,837$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rays | 60c | 3,810$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.8 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Guardians | 16c | 3,143$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 77c | 2,984$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.74 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Guardians | 41c | 2,701$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.41 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Rays | 75c | 2,152$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.38 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Guardians | 2c | 2,141$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 74c | 2,005$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.52 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rays | 61c | 1,468$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.52 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 21c | 1,380$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 41c | 1,280$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 28c | 1,171$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Guardians | 41c | 1,140$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.4 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rays | 58c | 1,084$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.28 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Guardians | 40c | 1,084$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.47 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 39c | 1,032$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.85 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44f9backed Guardians | 40c | 1,010$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…2c1abacked Rays | 60c | 1,003$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Guardians | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 59c | 1,000$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.7 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Guardians | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…27a6backed Rays | 60c | 997$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 40c | 990.36$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.79 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…8b66backed Guardians | 40c | 990$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 60c | 948.4$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.36 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Guardians | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 41c | 793.88$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.49 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 41c | 781$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.21 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rays | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Guardians | 40c | 644.4$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rays | 61c | 630$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Guardians | 4c | 618.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 41c | 608.66$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.41 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Rays | 61c | 600.13$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Guardians | 40c | 599.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Guardians | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 59c | 508$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 41c | 399.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 74c | 383.78$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 59c | 350$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 19c | 325.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Guardians | 15c | 320.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Rays | 60c | 314.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 41c | 310.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 59c | 299.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…a2b4backed Rays | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rays | 59c | 286.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 39c | 264.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 41c | 260$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Rays | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 58c | 224.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Guardians | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Guardians | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b1…9335backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Guardians | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Rays | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Guardians vs. Raysthis page
- Guardians vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Rays (-1.5)Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.