MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfa826ecf3822baea71f039ba8cee77053ffe571d5f12e9f7c7a89e7183b4a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Rockies, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Rockies | 0c | 43,543$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Rockies | 26c | 35,139$9,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,136.27 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 74c | 26,487$19,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,882.23 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 0c | 21,411$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockies | 27c | 17,720$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.29 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockies | 27c | 14,459$3,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,897.21 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 26c | 12,464$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.63 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mariners | 73c | 12,065$8,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.47 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mariners | 74c | 7,674$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.24 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 74c | 7,066$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.46 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies | 0c | 4,094$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Mariners | 73c | 3,777$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.52 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 73c | 3,748$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rockies | 27c | 3,466$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.54 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rockies | 27c | 3,215$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies | 1c | 3,056$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rockies | 26c | 2,892$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.82 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Rockies | 25c | 2,256$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.11 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 73c | 1,936$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.63 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Rockies | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mariners | 72c | 1,606$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.74 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 73c | 1,247$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.58 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 73c | 1,151$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.77 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rockies | 1c | 1,125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 73c | 1,110$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rockies | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Rockies | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Mariners | 73c | 950$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 2c | 939$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 13c | 807.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rockies | 22c | 736.88$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mariners | 73c | 711.25$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…aee1backed Rockies | 26c | 650$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…62f0backed Mariners | 73c | 650$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Rockies | 8c | 641.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…57adbacked Mariners | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Mariners | 73c | 547.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mariners | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Mariners | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…9a6fbacked Rockies | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Rockies | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rockies | 27c | 480$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Mariners | 78c | 452.28$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Rockies | 5c | 410.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Rockies | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 74c | 386$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rockies | 25c | 369.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…8547backed Mariners | 74c | 362.85$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…921fbacked Rockies | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rockies | 4c | 340$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Rockies | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Rockies | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Rockies | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Mariners | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 74c | 244.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…b062backed Rockies | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…5f8bbacked Rockies | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mariners | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…a734backed Mariners | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Mariners | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Mariners | 74c | 116.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Mariners | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Mariners | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Mariners | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Mariners | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 73c | 93.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Rockies | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Mariners | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Rockies | 28c | 66.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Mariners | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…9173backed Mariners | 73c | 59.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c7…ac9fbacked Rockies | 27c | 59.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rockies | 26c | 58.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mariners | 73c | 58.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…ecb3backed Mariners | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Mariners | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…826abacked Mariners | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Mariners | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Rockies | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…7721backed Mariners | 74c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…dd43backed Mariners | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…649cbacked Mariners | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…a4a3backed Mariners | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…b88ebacked Mariners | 74c | 40.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…8f9fbacked Mariners | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…1be4backed Mariners | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockies | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…f0c4backed Mariners | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockies vs. Marinersthis page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.