TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdeb9…b55e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST4684.8%39 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$64.17
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$18.55
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$39.47
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.05
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$125.04
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$29.83
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.45
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$12
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$30.8
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.04
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.79
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$29.5
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$22.85
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$18.64
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$43.38
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38.67
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
Padres vs. Rockiesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$40.38
White Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.48
Cubs vs. Rockiesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$86.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+32.7%+$53.31
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$63
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$93.94
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$102.62
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$52.9
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$40
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.86
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.02
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$20.42
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+25%+$5.97
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$52.95
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$58
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.79
Sparks vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$33.88
Mystics vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$18.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$127.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.